WNC_Fort

I'm ready to focus my attention on Sat/Sun. Next week is off the table for WNC. Too much going wrong out west.

Tick-Tock. Suppression incoming!

This sort of map is a classic @WNC_Fortand @wncsnownightmare (but one I think is more likely to happen)

Yea, I think I'm concerned by the system itself. Still a bit burned by that last system.

Still leaning towards cold/dry for us

I do feel like the MLK day storm does have legs but think it might be one of those ENC specials where we are left cold/dry. Still early but just my hunch.

I think it depends on where you are located. Each model had flaws. I think for AVL/East towards Raleigh, the NAM scored in terms of calling for the transition to sleet and the warm nose/generally lower totals. The HRRR was trash in terms of amounts, except did fairly well for Atlanta. I just don't see how anyone considers this event anything but a bust unless you're in Atlanta or west. Upstate of SC did not get anywhere near the amount forecast. The foothills fared “ok” but generally lower than forecast. SW mountains were hit or miss. Charlotte was way under. Raleigh didn't get what the models were showing 24 hours before the event. Generally, an underperformer. Look at how much Justus, Boyer, and Panovich were calling for just to see why many are calling it a bust.

Putting this in here as well. The Asheville snow hole showed up well on the models and even did worse than was forecast. Upstate of SC was really screwed. But, in general a bust just because amounts were generally lower than the low end of the forecast for the area as a whole.

Over 4000’ might have eeked out a decent event but overall, man what a bust (outside of the NAM)

I think our crew has every right to be a little disappointed. The higher elevation folks still somehow managed to get up to 6-7 inches with the wrap around. But, we struggled in an event that theoretically should have worked… in our coldest start to January in years.

If I didn't transition to sleet earlier, I bet I could have made a run at the 4” mark.

Snowing again at a good clip but again with TINY flakes

All hail the NAM. I think the storm overperformed in some areas (ATL) and was a BIG disappointment in others (Upstate SC, WNC, Triangle)

We just switched back over to snow. Its light but ill take it over the sleet! Road is a mess

Well boys. It was disappointing but also I'm surprisingly ok with it? Think we got enough in us to pull a bigger one this year?

Transitioned to sleet here. Snow was pretty and fell basically all day but just couldn't accumulate

Dang..full transition to sleet now

A decent (small) event. An underperformer for sure but I think we will take what we can get at this point

It's been snowing hard but just doesn't want to accumulate much. Little bit disappointed just because it was so cold, I thought we'd get it to stick a bit better.

Jason Boyer just cut his forecast in half. Generally forecasting 1-3 across the area except for favored SW mountain locations.

BIG flakes now. Biggest of the day and it's coming down at a good clip. Starting to acumulate again. Can we keep it up for a few hours?

Still snowing but man the flakes have become microscopic. Haven't been able to accumulate much in the last 30 mins or so.

How do we look downstream? Any signs of heavier returns heading our way?

Still waiting on the most recent launch.

I've appreciated your contributions leading up to this storm. I hope you get smoked!