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Sn0waddict

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Everything posted by Sn0waddict

  1. Sn0waddict
    3k is better too, which has been the warmest model to date. A few hours of sleet but it then crashes at hr 33
  2. Sn0waddict
    Wow much better for coastal ct and Hudson valley. Maybe an hour of sleet at the most and no dry slot.
  3. Sn0waddict
    This does indeed look better so far.
  4. Sn0waddict
    They actually went up compared to 18z
  5. Sn0waddict
    A bad weather model.
  6. Sn0waddict
    When does the 18z euro come out?
  7. Sn0waddict
    Quite the dry slot on the HERPES. Sheesh
  8. Sn0waddict
    1 mb stronger and a hair East. Looks pretty identical to 12z.
  9. Sn0waddict
    Practically identical at the surface at Hr 36 to 12z. Next panel is the most important one though.
  10. Sn0waddict
    Cave to what? There still doesn’t seem to be uniform agreement across the board.
  11. Sn0waddict
    NAM looks a little less amped up to me.. will see how it translates but it would be great if it moved more towards euro type solution.
  12. Sn0waddict
    Difference appears to be a warm tongue at 700mb on the 3k vs the GFS. We don’t even sniff sleet here on the GFS despite it having a similar low position as the NAM. My guess is unfortunately that the 3k would be better at picking up stuff like this, but perhaps it is overaggressive with it..
  13. Sn0waddict
    3k is a few hours of snow and then sleet then a dry spot despite having a further south surface track than 6z. This hobby sucks.
  14. Sn0waddict
    Pretty much every model now has a dry slot in CT after a initial thump. Makes sense honestly, just hope to keep the sleet down into LI. Edit: though based on the map above who cares if we dry slot that initial thump would be awesome.
  15. Sn0waddict
    Seems like things are just becoming more unclear now not less. Dryslots, suppression, mixing all a possibility still. No bueno.
  16. Sn0waddict
    Icon and RGEM seemed to go north a bit. Would rather not have that happen. Will see if it’s a trend or a fluke.
  17. Sn0waddict
    I wonder what Ryan is thinking.
  18. Sn0waddict
    CMC looks pretty much the same as 0z, maybe tucked just a slight bit more but same trajectory besides that.
  19. Sn0waddict
    RGEM goes out to 84 hr now on TT
  20. Sn0waddict
    Was about to go to bed feeeling good and then you had to do this.. . Actually it’s good to be made aware of stuff like this, but a positive GFS trend would really help me feel better about this whole thing.
  21. Sn0waddict
    Slower too no? Still right off AC at 9z. I think NAM/CMC had it gone by 12z
  22. Sn0waddict
    How far north does it go until it pulls east?
  23. Sn0waddict
    That looks nothing like the GFS lol.
  24. Sn0waddict
    38 inches in 12 hours with gusts in the 40s. LOL call me skeptical of that, but it is nice to look at.
  25. Sn0waddict
    There are more tucked in members for sure, but the north progression still isn’t very good. Most get shunted east at/south of cape may.
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