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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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Sad part is, the forecast 'cold stretch' is run of the mill cold now and moves out as fast as it moves in.
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It's fine....everything is fine. The upcoming pattern is the KU look....I read it here. If not that one then the one after is it. The cutters will pave the wave....pattern progression. Patience. Buckle up. Fuck, give me more of those good meds ffs...
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Do you think? They are in complete dissaray. AJ Brown deleted everything Eagles from his IG yesterday. Looks like he wants off the team now. What makes you think they are going to show and compete? Are they just playing opossum??
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
Biggest event of the season for mby? -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
Cold snap fizzled too. Avg temps to slightly below. Winter blows anymore. Need to find a Flux capacitor asap. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Ralph Wiggum replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
How are we looking wrt the textbook KU upper air pattern the ens means had for late week? Still showing the same thing? -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Ralph Wiggum replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
If that threat period fails and nothing discrete is showing in the MR at that time and the LR is in a 'relax'? Well,...it might be time.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Ralph Wiggum replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Would a radio show reverse jinx it? Is that possible? We should be open to anything and everything at this juncture.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Ralph Wiggum replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Ralph Wiggum replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Who had 'squall line as the top snow event for the week'? Wasn't on my bingo card.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Ralph Wiggum replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Best. Signature. Quote. Ever.- 425 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Ralph Wiggum replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Cash Out bro while it's still a value -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Ralph Wiggum replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gut looks to be right. Never bet against the gut, blech -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Ralph Wiggum replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Spire?- 425 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Ralph Wiggum replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I hope I'm wrong, I do. But believe me...when Doctor No shuts the door it is emphatic. There's always more room . -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Ralph Wiggum replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Holds or even takes a small step back -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Ralph Wiggum replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
PSU has been silent. We all know what's going on here....brace for it later -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Ralph Wiggum replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
"Folks?" -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Ralph Wiggum replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
ICON heights backing more out ahead of storm. Doubt this ends like the euro. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Ralph Wiggum replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
" The 12Z and now the 00Z ECMWF deterministic runs are more offshore where hardly any precipitation is onshore of the East Coast. This seems unlikely based on other guidance and the EC ensemble mean and members, but unfortunately the ECMWF-initialized machine learning models did not seem to run for the 12Z cycle, so we lack that piece of information that could help with the model diagnostics." -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Ralph Wiggum replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Pretty sure I read an AFD posted here earlier that stated the Euro didn't have data ingested and that would resume with the 12z run today? -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
0z-12z Sat will really hone in. I think the Euro caves by 0z but I wouldn't be surprised to see it still squashed at 12z today. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
6z GFS has @Albedoman's clipper swinging thru the midwest finally at 384hr. He says the clipper is what will finally usher in winter for us by the 3rd week of January as per his years of experience. We shall see....the clipper may end up actually being the end of our run instead of the start ironically. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
I dont think it happens, though it's not like we haven't seen it before....but if the Euro scores the win and shafts us and the mid atl I may just quit this hobby. This scenario is precisely how Dr No earned its name. I pray to the heavens, please, not this time lol. Honestly, pattern argues against the Euro and I'm betting against it, but we wait and see. I like where we're at right now. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Ralph Wiggum replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Don't forget the stronger west based - nao and slightly better +pna ridge axis. What's not to like? (Psu please dont answer that wasn't meant for you )
