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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Well, they found the reason for the increase in "tornaders" in NJ at least. Makes complete sense now https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZTRnqDkth/
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    See my last post. I think we r starting to stabilize general track. You're not in a bad spot. It isnt going to continue N every single run for the next 5 days. Big jumps might be over. Probably going to see a fair amt of wobble (windshield wipers) back and forth, NW and SE next several days. Buckle up.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Not a terrible place to be. Obviously farther N and W would fare better in this setup, but close enough that any adjustments will have a significant impact. Hopefully we are starting to stabilize any big shifts and we can start seeing more influence from confluence. Would love to start seeing model adjust S now and start windshield wiper effects.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Agreed. A 971 and a couple 976 lows n and w will definitely do that. Majority of clustering is still pretty much centered around the mean maybe slight lean N.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    6z EPS mean upped snowfall for late week to 7.5" here....some of that may include the Monday night event. Has the >3" probability around 75% here. Encouraging for sure.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    But what about Scotty? One would think Scotty would have to know by now. Iykyk
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    That would also show that everyone who has been ridiculing the GFS all winter for being stubborn and not snowy is seeing this model's upgrades through snow covered glasses. The GFS may very well have become the new King. We just won't know for another couple of weeks, but it sure seems that way right now.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Whatever happens tomorrow night is a very good indicator of what happens late week imho. All guidance that is snowy tomorrow are snowy late week and vice versa. Just something to watch
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    There's another threat at day 10 on the GFS op, so we have that going for us
  10. Ralph Wiggum
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    The UKMET is going to save us
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    We pretty much know how this will end, but it has been a fun trackable event so far. If for some reason we can still be close come Tuesday midday, we might actually catch a break this time. Who knows? I got a feeling Dr No abruptly shuts the door in 2 hours. Hope I'm wrong. Earlier thought it might hold but seeing the cmc and icon move so quickly towards the consistent gfs tells me all I need to know. Catch ya in the am.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    2 for 3 so far. In Euro we trust! LFG!
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    CMC hits us with a modest event late week. GfS held its ground as the far extreme N and W outlier attm.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    It is OK for 5 days out. We have a few hits and we have an extreme outlier. The concerning part is the outlier has been most consistent and the hits moved towards it. But still, not a bad spot attm. All we can do is keep on trackin
  16. Ralph Wiggum
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Hats off to @CAPEif this in fact ends up a cutter. Dont love the h5 trends so far.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    I double dog dare ya
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Boston is almost all rain...for that guy who was concerned with how they would fare
  20. Ralph Wiggum
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS is by itself. Trying to occlude in the OV ffs.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Only goes out to 48 but both wrfs are cold:
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Fv3 for Monday night:
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    I was thinking the vintage VW van/bus....more room for the weenies to jump in
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    ICON hits us pretty good with the late week system. Looks like a 4-8" more S and E
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