Jump to content

Ralph Wiggum

Members
  • Posts

    16,500
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. It does look like a window of opportunity. One trend I've noticed this past month....when guidance has shown a coastal low at range it has generally morphed into a fropa or developed well offshore as verification. So we need to watch that to see if this also moves that direction. Saw this alot past few seasons. Could be the lag of the Nina pattern still moving into Nino looks which hopefully start to show up more as we head into late December onward. Still think we need to be patient...Nino December's aren't usually known for cold and prolific snows.
  2. Sounds like your pop was satisfied
  3. Didn't we deal with a stubborn Western Atlantic Ridge in 2015-2016 until it briefly rolled over in January 2016 prior to the big storm? That feature looks persistent late in the ens means BUT also look like the pattern wants to progress right beyond this with the Aleutian low anchoring, the SW trof moving East slowly, and the Scan Ridge retrograding.
  4. My Daffodil bed has most bulbs sprouting 1/4" or so out of the soil.
  5. The WAR is a trademark of a Nino yes? I recall 2015 we fought that thing all season. Most places did end up with the 1 big January storm though. Eta: not trying to be a downer of a post just discussing the pattern. With that said, there is a nice trof there building into the Aleutians.
  6. I do not. However, Nina->Nino lag/hangover can sometimes take longer to shake than we would like. Just thought those looks were incredibly similar outside of the Scan ridge building in which many of us here including myself are hoping for ie favorable AO/NAO looks which we need in a Nino. The Pac should work itself out....December Ninos are always iffy which is why a couple weeks ago I mentioned we need to be patient thru Dec because it might take some time to get there.
  7. ^^Scandinavian Ridge building ftw ?
  8. Vs eps and geps means from 0z...
  9. Need to hope we meet in the middle and not too much stj either. We are always looking for balance which is so hard to get. I think we get there.
  10. That dang sw trof blech....still gives me the shakes just seeing that map.
  11. The Scandinavian ridge builds in the LR....that's a great omen for the AO/NAO as we roll later into the month.
  12. @psuhoffman I don't believe received his 1" of snow by Dec 1
  13. Can someone please start a thread?
  14. The trof N of the Hawaiian Islands is a nice feature that had been lacking in recent years. Hints of an Aleutian low showing up.
  15. Mild Dec? I'm sorry, I'm not really seeing it. Any 'warmth' looks muted and transient at best thru 1st half of Dec. Cold enough for snow? Perhaps we sneak our way into something early, but we are still really premature in the season and outside of good climo for many. Becoming increasingly confident of a very active pattern coming and if these arctic intrusions are foreshadowing what's to come could be a fun ride.
  16. Yes! Even the 'big December warmup' that is common among Nino analogs looks muted at best. We should have a fair amount of chances this winter.
×
×
  • Create New...