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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Doesn't quite get it done on the GFS but big changes for the better. Has a parade of near hits. I would think at least 1 of those would work....at least.
  2. Caught beneath the block. As you said, dynamic and would counter the ocean temps. If it's even right.
  3. GFS is honking just after the CMC storm. Loaded pattern for sure.
  4. CMC annihilated us March 10-11. Nice pattern evolution across guidance for mid month.
  5. My Flux capacitor is acting up. Time for a little blue pill.
  6. "Retrograding NAO block meteorologically cannot go S and hookup with a SER"... Euro: hold my beer
  7. I understand what you are saying, but certain model biases allows those models to go a run/streak if the patterns and similar biases set in for a period. We have seen countless times where even AFDs have mentioned such and such model verification scores have been high recently so more weight is being given to said model. Maybe my "hot hand" is sort of vague or broadbrushing or lacked the "verification scores" terminology, but there is substance behind what I said. Now have I looked at a verification chart in the past 4 weeks? I have not, so maybe I'm just bias to this Friday system where the GFS led the way.
  8. Go with the hot hand and least snowiest model output. I dont want this to fail but if it is going to, let's get it out of the way now please.
  9. It can snow in the upper 40s on the Cali coast but we excel at 33 and rain. Fuck this clime. We need a storm, STAT!
  10. Except for this Friday's system where it led the way. I dunno man, as a gambler I'm kind of prone to go with the hot hand until it changes.
  11. That fucking SER is becoming like the Great Red Spot on Jupiter. At this rate it will just become a permanent feature.
  12. What am I missing here? The trend has been to bury that energy in the W and pump the SER, at least based on the trends you posted. Trying to link the stout NAO and building ridge. And yes, that is a ridge please stop saying it is just higher heights between longwaves. It's essentially the same thing?
  13. So I jump in for this window and guidance taunts me with this avocado crap?! The atmosphere hates me I'm taking this one personal.
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