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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Not sure if this will be the end game or just a shift towards something else Miller b ish as the days go on. Doubt the maps would look this sloppy. Euro at 0z last night may have had the right idea?
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Handoff and overall surface is messy but redeveloping low near OBX / Hatteras at 168. Thermals are torched tho.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    With the strength of that block the slp is going to be forced to redevelop. This should be interesting at the very least and draw some folks back in.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Most likely. But pretty big jump towards the better 6-7 days out still
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Run of the mill differences out West Total cave:
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Surface still looks like shit but the slp is trying its damnedest to work its way east under the block and not into the NPlains at least
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Randy gets his vertical egg as opposed to horizontal egg this run. Still not sure how this affects the end game but it's something.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Just a minor change early:
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Ffs the gfs finally looks like it might be caving
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Gfs also trended much farther s and has snow in the region tuesday.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    ICON snows on part of the region as early as Tuesday am.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    You can see the effects of the waning Nina....if only this were December headed into the winter. We'll have plenty more chances in the years to follow I'm sure. I'm not part of the 'it will likely never snow again' crew.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Ffs this better not disrupt our block and potential window for further events.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    I thought it took 24 hours to digest and take a shit or something like that?
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Exactly. Some pros....-ao, west based nao blocking, decent 50/50 signal. Cons....lack of antecedent cold air, mid March always seemed tough to get Miller b's to trend southward. Still favors interior, elevations, and farther N. For now anyway. Somewhat encouraging signs today tho suggesting this isn't etched in stone yet.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Here's an op for ya then...JMA is a bit borderline with temps to start but pulls off a capture...big storm signal. Still favors interior and elevations but not etched in stone yet. This is a different pattern up top.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    EPS is a Miller b forming off the VA coast. So the op says nope, I'm still dancing on my own.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    I would say it was a blip run if the CMC didn't look a little bit similar
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Pepperidge Farms remembers
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Unblockiest blocking by a h5 block ever . One step forward, 2 steps back. Wait for ens.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    So safe to say the gfs and euro will likely meet in the middle when all is said and done....yet again? Or we just can't know?
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS is all on its own with next week. Even it's ensembles have a potential mecs with a redeveloping Miller b off the obx. Until other guidance goes towards the gfs there is still a decent chance. Dont give up hope yet.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    This is the thing. Are we willing this into a 35 and cold pouring rain or can we somehow do nighttime upper 20s/low 30s and heavy snow rates? Tbd..
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    But will it be enough? The question on everyone's mind attm
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    But even if the gfs goes to the others, it still likely isn't enough....for the lowlands anyway.
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