Ralph Wiggum

I asked a legit question and I've been optimistic asf for the mid March period since like Feb 24 or so. I think you got the wrong guy pal.

What happened the other time that was the highest mean of the entire winter?

EPS mean has 9" snow here. It's time to start paying attention. Oh....and buckle up.

This is advertised across the board. Active stj and diving njs. Timing differences keep models from keying on which date. Growing fairly confident something big pops next week that impacts both of our subforums in a positive way.

Blue suede shoes?

So the weekends storm....on the GFs remember when the primary went into S C Canada a couple days back? Now it is in Pitt. Has been coming S every run. Couple more ticks and the thing slides under and we get a legit system.

Verbatim, some places would double seasonal averages and even end up in top 10 winters territory. Agreed, that would be rather hysterical.

They addressed that with the upgrade last year thus the bump in the Euros verification scores. Doesn't make this run right. I don't think it is. But the pattern has potential for a decent late season storm between the 10th and 20th still. Doubt it plays out like the Euro verbatim and I wouldn't put all my chips on a major event either.....but this time of year it usually ends up as all or nothing. We'll see how this 10 day period plays out. Right now many are overlooking that we are backing into some snow this weekend. Blocking does funny things.

With the 6th snow event of the season, we have finally cracked and inch an a half total snow on the winter. SIX events for 1.6".....pathetic.

Official measurement 2 tenths of an inch of snow last night.

Oh I wasn't saying the enso state was going to have any impacts this month per se. I do think the cooler ssts have helped us get the mjo progression into a more favorable phase at least. Hopefully we don't enter some 97-98 super Nino in fall

Nina is dying a quick death. We are neutral attm and they say could be weak Nino shortly:

From a guy who touts himself as having been in this hobby for 65 years (even as a brief career iirc?) this surprises me coming from you. I get it....it's March and winter has been blah. But the Nina is dead and even Hellen Keller could probably see the potential in the pattern. You get modest snow this coming Saturday btw.

6z GFS has the St Patty's shamrock greens for us

Following the Euro's BECS on 3/15, the GFS has 2 followup snowstorms, the latter being a HECS. I would not sleep on mid March yet....this pattern is loaded.

GFS, CMC, and Euro all snow here on Saturday.

Surface maps aren't indicative of the potential. GFS is a 6 hr difference in timing from a triple phased bomb:

Well it's my Ides of March storm I've been barking about since late Feb, so there's that.

So we are just going to ignore the blizzard here on the Euro about a week from now?

@ravensrule your thoughts on this?

Too far South. We can't win.

Chive mashed potatoes from the heavens?

Just like my crazy uncle....from Sunday Church to passed out at the bar all in one run.

I miss when we used to do Morch tbh.