If you are banking on a HECS level event, then probably. Realistically could have 1 or 2 secs during this period then maybe the reality is our biggest storm happens when the pattern breaks down. At least that's 'normally' how it plays out.
CMC would have probably been a nice system with that kicker post 240. Just timing diffs and deciding which sw to phase between guidance families. Gonna be a fun couple of weeks.
GEFS is really honking on the Jan 6-10 time period. That's a hell of a sw signal entering the Plains in addition to the obvious other favorable teleconnection indices
And just to add, when you get a deep stj feed like that one(Pineapple Connection)...interesting things can develop out of that in the form of juicy stj fed storms.