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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. I fully expect to see this smeared all over FB and X within the coming days and layperson panic ensuing.
  2. Also wanted to note nice +PNA popping at the same time:
  3. I noticed that as well. Decent interaction with NS/part of the TPV with decent timing location. There have certainly been hints of this but this run has been best with this feature thus far.
  4. Murphys Law says we waste the stj now and turn cold/dry during prime climo. I'm hopefully optimistic for a 2nd half of winter type salvage, but damn it sucks wasting all this precip right now.
  5. Bro, lower your expectations. Epic winter are rare for a reason.
  6. This!! Majority of pro forecasters here and elsewhere have repeated ad nauseum that the expectation this was always IF we are going to see a legit wintry deep pattern that would not happen until 2nd or 3rd week of January thru late Feb. It's hard to believe but it is possible still. I ha e very minimal accums up here but I'm not far west of the fall line and have seen flakes 5 times already. So yes. It CAN snow still. And yes. It WILL snow again. Patience.
  7. Didn't see this before posting my ssw comment. Well said....exactly.
  8. Low expectations should be the mindset going into every winter tbh. Ppl set themselves up for a letdown assuming things like Nino=snowstorms or Nina=sustained cold etc.
  9. Too much emphasis on requiring a SSW to have a productive pattern. We've had these events a few times in recent years and the net result was nil for impacts in our regions.
  10. Someone needs to remind folks in other subs that these phases are cyclical and not the end times for snowfall. While I believe in that elephant in the room that shall not be mentioned, I dont believe that is the lone cause of tough luck we have had since we 2016 (2014 tbh). There will eventually be a run of snowy years like we have seen in our lifetimes already. You know what I say....buckle up and have patience.
  11. Those are heights I'm pretty sure....not critical thicknesses. Irregardless those are not "warm" looks.
  12. ^^those are 850 anomalies. Here are the 2m:
  13. Wth is 'radio occultation' that they use to run the spire? So they summon evil demons with their ham radio for each run?
  14. A couple years back someone in here posted a stat that was a real eye-opener. Something along the lines of the 70s had one 1 snowfall in Philly over 8" or the 80s there were only 3 total wi ter storm warnings in Philly. Please dont quote me on those, but it was something really absurd along those lines. Does anyone happen to recall?
  15. Not sure but it can probably be thrown in the bonfire with the ngp, cras, and icon.
  16. Bottom map blues look like the Nittany Lion paw. I'm convinced @psuhoffmancontrols the weather just to see us snow-starved weenies suffer more and more
  17. Funny part about all of this.....if we get an area-wide wsw and event, most of this chatter will subside exponentially....for a little while anyway. It just needs to snow ffs.
  18. I agree with this. Guidance will adjust to thermals as storm times approach. Happens both ways....we've looked at LR programs and said " somehow the gfs snows with that look, we take". Then it rains and we bash the model. I've seen it show bl too warm and pop a snow event closer to game time. Not saying psu debate isn't valid but there are 2 sides/possibilities abd we've seen both at times.
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