Ralph Wiggum

And since when is that an issue? We take.

I would take the perfect bullseye at under 42 hrs tho

0z NAM ups the ante yet again

Wow, that is insane those changes in qpf tbh

January 25, 2000 vibes....well, maybe not that insane, but the trends continue

NAM is a beatdown here. Grain of salt I'm telling myself, but sweet to see us trend towards a good event for a change.

NaM is a pummelling

We are getting NAMmed. LFG!

NAMming incoming. Great trends with this one. Not a HECS or MECS but I dont think we expected such. SECSy asf

Wiggum Rule verifies again....had 30 mins of mixed light/moderate snow tv. No stickage. Looking ahead to late week, something about not being in the bullseye 5 days out? Fml...

SSTs are just too warm. Probably too many fish releasing methane or some shit.

900-950mb is torched between 50-56hrs. All the way to N Bucks/Montco. Hope it's wrong and mesos not honing in on that sneaky warm layer.

Latest NAM is more sleet than anything in extreme SE PA Tuesday am. Gotta love it. Just can't get a clean event it seems.

Good. Kill the threat before we get sucked in. I'm already onto the Feb 5 event.

I too am on board with you. This is our twisted version of Normandy Beach....we all see what is staring us in the face. Vomit and rally. LFG!

We are finding ways to fail this year that I never in my life thought possible!!

Don't count your chips just yet. Things are falling apart this week then the week you targeted looks well AN with a pattern relax. I mean, anyone can say they think the 3rd week of July will be hot with thunderstorms and probably be close too. Not a personal knock but you can't cherry pick a squall line to try and justify it as a clipper a week early. Not really the way it works. But let's see how the week plays out. Any snow, we take. I don't care who called it or how we get there tbh.

If we get 2 snowstorms of 20" each in the first half of March, is that a success? Dead ass serious question.

It can always get worse. Always.

And thats the thing, the ens have been honestly pretty good at seeing the overall longwave setup at range. And we have had some decent looks. My frustration last week was that we just aren't cashing in when we get the better setups. And that is to be expected....to a degree. But, throw enough chances and eventually it will happen. This is why wall to wall winter from Dec 1-mid March is a myth....not the norm.

That's kinda my wag too tho I'm hedging lower c-2" on next event for now until I see evidence to Increase.

In all seriousness tho, this seem to be progressing as a few have mentioned. Best chances of the season thus far middle January thru around the 21st then a relax thru the end of month with a reload into Feb with our chance for a bigger storm. The hope was we would cash in on the chances this week and some spots certainly will do that before the transition. Ens means are clear with the relax after the 21st and towards the end of the run (s) you can see the reload back to workable happening. GEPS has the best reflection of this. So, while we were/are hoping for something bigger this week after stepping back from the 16-17 potential, we do have a workable (not ideal) setup.late week before we relax. Ens means have been pretty decent with the large scale features in the LR, so we should see more chances again. We just gotta hang in. At least we aren't shitting the blinds right?

That's a clear path to victory...we do Norlun troughs like bosses. /s

Probably the biggest event of the next 10 days. Ens took a dump. Epic pattern got lost at sea....again.