I dunno. Seems last 10 years have been a total crapshoot. Seasonal analogs haven't been very useful tbh. If I were to guess, we get chances early but deal with the usual when Atlantic Ocean is roasting...weak waves sliding South = cold enough but dryish, anything even slightly amped torches BL type stuff. I want to say we're due but the WDI is pretty irrelevant. Peak solar activity and Nina would traditionally spell a trainwreck but like I said, past analogs haven't been very helpful.