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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Just like claiming victory prematurely I probably shouldnt accept failure yet, but my thinking that this was too early in the pattern change and SE PA would be close but no cigar looks like an epic fail. But those are the fails I like...so yeah.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Pics or it didn't happen
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    If anything the hr³ is juicier over extreme sepa this run.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Looks exactly the same
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Globals probably not the guidance of choice this late in the game. Could be right but I would weigh more heavily on the mesos.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    People at work in telford blowing this off. Claim it was 50 today it won't stick
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    I know this sir. I hope we can all cash in
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Hrrr looks 83ish with that band and those rates down this way. Ffs make this the one time it verifies lol
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Shouldn't have started a thread under that name. I'm looking at you @LVblizzard
  10. Ralph Wiggum
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    A pasting n and w
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Like @Birds~69 stated these setups generally disappoint se pa cold chasing precip. 9 out of 10 times. But who knows, maybe this is the 1 out of 10 where we get the surprise. I wouldn't bet on it tho. Thinking a coating to slushy inch or 2 in extreme se PA. AN inch to 3 up my way. North and W of Central Bucks 3-5" then a swath of 4-8" LV. Rough guesstimate.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    It narrowed the snow swath if anything.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    It's a shame....I've been suggesting this would be a tantalizingly close call for extreme SE PA for some time now due mostly to the antecedent airmass that isn't that good. Far N and W crew enjoy this one. Maybe we get another shot down this way later in the week. Some of the extended stuff is starting to look more tame and seasonal now.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Yep, more in line with other guidance. HRRR is great most of the time with its 18hr runs....the extended runs nasomuch.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    NAM 12k snow depth has a slushy inch or so up here. Meh.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Fridge has the Belgians...some St Bernardus, Victory Golden Monkey, and Cape May Devil's Reach.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    This could theoretically work, -PNA, EPO ridge (cold air source), big NAO block keeping lows from cutting (track under the region).
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    CFS still looks decent into March. Havent seen the Euro weeklies.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Game prep time!
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Yep, epo as well:
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Getting ahead here but this^^ system is impacted by what happens the 19th-20th. With that said tho, I am very co fident we cash in between the 18th-26th at the very least. One of those 2 waves works out....maybe both.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    I don't dislike this look. Stj wave, possible ns interaction, ridging out west, weakness in the flow near 50/50.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Close but no cigar for extreme se PA. Not surprised...little cold air to work with. Always felt this was more an elevation and rate-dependent setup. Unfortunately we wont have the heavier rates down this way.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS is firing a PNA ridge on the 20th ahead of the PSU baby.
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