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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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Globals probably not the guidance of choice this late in the game. Could be right but I would weigh more heavily on the mesos.
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People at work in telford blowing this off. Claim it was 50 today it won't stick
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I know this sir. I hope we can all cash in
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Hrrr looks 83ish with that band and those rates down this way. Ffs make this the one time it verifies lol
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Shouldn't have started a thread under that name. I'm looking at you @LVblizzard
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
A pasting n and w -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
Like @Birds~69 stated these setups generally disappoint se pa cold chasing precip. 9 out of 10 times. But who knows, maybe this is the 1 out of 10 where we get the surprise. I wouldn't bet on it tho. Thinking a coating to slushy inch or 2 in extreme se PA. AN inch to 3 up my way. North and W of Central Bucks 3-5" then a swath of 4-8" LV. Rough guesstimate. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
It narrowed the snow swath if anything. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
It's a shame....I've been suggesting this would be a tantalizingly close call for extreme SE PA for some time now due mostly to the antecedent airmass that isn't that good. Far N and W crew enjoy this one. Maybe we get another shot down this way later in the week. Some of the extended stuff is starting to look more tame and seasonal now. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yep, more in line with other guidance. HRRR is great most of the time with its 18hr runs....the extended runs nasomuch. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
NAM 12k snow depth has a slushy inch or so up here. Meh. -
Fridge has the Belgians...some St Bernardus, Victory Golden Monkey, and Cape May Devil's Reach.
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This could theoretically work, -PNA, EPO ridge (cold air source), big NAO block keeping lows from cutting (track under the region).
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
CFS still looks decent into March. Havent seen the Euro weeklies. -
Game prep time!
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Getting ahead here but this^^ system is impacted by what happens the 19th-20th. With that said tho, I am very co fident we cash in between the 18th-26th at the very least. One of those 2 waves works out....maybe both.
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I don't dislike this look. Stj wave, possible ns interaction, ridging out west, weakness in the flow near 50/50.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
Close but no cigar for extreme se PA. Not surprised...little cold air to work with. Always felt this was more an elevation and rate-dependent setup. Unfortunately we wont have the heavier rates down this way. -
GFS is firing a PNA ridge on the 20th ahead of the PSU baby.
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Feels like we are marching straight ahead into fully engaged battle for 12z. Guess this is our weenie version of hitting the beaches at Normandy at the start of WW2. Well, grab our allies from the other subs....let's fucking roll men. Godspeed to you all!
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gentlemen? You got the wrong forum bro -
Exactly! These LR models are available to the public due their accuracy. They wouldn't release them to us if there were flaws or beta testing. So there's that
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Will await further instruction based on your 12z pbp for the 13th and later on, lieutenant colonel @stormtracker. Please advise the remaining troops of their position. Godspeed.
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