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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    It all works together to some degree.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Surface hp wouldn't spike the ser to that extent. We are talking mid levels wrt to that teleconnection.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Guidance is either going to come around and support your thoughts over the coming few days OR you are going to refer to your log and insert a new chapter or section about more unprecedented storm behavior in this modern clime.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    So it's not just me seeing that? That feature has been a thorn in my side since this threat surfaced. Not allowing the pna to spike more, it just plows thru the damn ridge. A vortmax on a mission....to crush east coast weenie dreams.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    I know u didn't ask me, but it does get N and isn't suppressed. The problem is the kicker pushes it all too far east before it can begin the move to the N. At least that's the way I am seeing it. Up top looks fine....weakening block. 50/50 progressing along and confluence where we like it. I am convinced that vigorous kicker is the culprit. Without that kicker it comes N sooner. Eta: kicker, not licker. Fixed typo stupid screen protector
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Just read on the other sub the AI was a complete miss. Weak sauce all around even S of us. Cannot confirm.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Well, there's a reason we dont get widespread mecs in a nina. Looking more likely we roll into a Nino for next winter. Recent Nino climo suggests it isnt what it once was. Otoh, we are beyond due for a good above avg snowfall winter.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Bro, read the room
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Good post... @Ji?
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Going down with the ship as any respectable captain would. I admire this! Keep sailing high and proud on the S.S. PSU2. Regardless how it transpires you win....you called this 4+ weeks ago. Much respect sir.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    I thought we lost the HECS as the high-end potential for this one?
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Remember when the 45-day euro had over 6 feet of snow for us?
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    For me, the kiss of death was seeing 1) the march 2001 similarities. Never a good vibe. And 2) once the ens means did a deja vu of last week almost to a tee. Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me. You can't fool this old fool of a weenie
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    It was over before it began.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    A step back
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    We lost the ensembles now as well. That de-escalated extremely quickly.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Unsure
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Do you think it received new data ie dropsonde or energy hitting the W Coast?
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    I think you are looking at a forum divider down there....thus the posts of yay they held vs trending the wrong way.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    EPS individuals have a decent amount of complete misses with little to zero precip. Dont tell Albedoman. Then there's are a decent amount with low end mecs hits. Been saying this over in the MA forum for days. This is an all or nothing event imho. Minor change aloft can make a massive impact at the surface.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    But it's been paying off for those folks South of us this year repeatedly when theyve been bullseyed. That awesome for them. Interesting winter for sure
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Odd to see the euro take such a sudden Big jump.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Must have ingested the dropsonde data this run with those massive changes?
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    I'm just taking my break at work. Did I miss anything from the 12z suite?
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    How u doin?
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