Shouldn't come as a surprise, but we will struggle with any meaningful snowfall in the lowlands thru at least Christmas but more likely until January, if the Nina analogs are worth a damn.
Latest GEFS long range finally wants to settle into more of a quasi-Nina look with a trof in the West and a flat SER building. However, the Aleutian low is present which bucks the analog and allows a cold air source from Siberia into central Canada. EPS/GEPS still try and revert back to a +PNA look.
I alluded to this about a month back....we will be fighting Nina climo for a good portion of the winter (-pna/ser) but there is a difference this year imo with the Aleutian low and -EPO allowing for cold air to be very close by.
Some of the analogs ive seen posted do in fact have this general appearance and are split with the -EPO. However, none of those analog seasons were particularly snowy east of the fall line.
As we head into January, if history is correct, we should get some chances. My wag is we see a 2016 redux sorta thing with a hefty one-off snow event then some minor ones outside of that but nothing earth shattering as we try and time the cold with the moisture.
In any event, doesn't appear as there will be much meaningful wintry precip to track over the next several weeks until after Christmas, potentially into the New Year.