Ralph Wiggum

Steady light snow continuing in Ivyland. First accums of the year beginning. 33F

That's a much better look with the epo bulging AND some Atlantic side help. Been burned so many times LR last decade so nice to see but not dusting off the snowblower..yet

Snowing lightly now in Ivyland. Very scenic! 34F

A true December to remember. Feels like Decembers of old....gray, wet, cold, flakes here and there.

Flurries in Ivyland. 35F.

That's certainly a good take and look. I would rather have this than any classic weak Nina pattern. A few ways we could muck this up but one recent way we've seen that runs the risk with the jet retraction and EPO ridging and split flow out west is the shred factory when the NS has its way with any STJ impulse. To counter this we are going to need some blocking or something to slow things down on the Atlantic side and allow for sharper trof/digging with our NS. I think we do achieve that but nothing anchored in for weeks. My wag has always been a one-off larger January storm. This is against most of thinking from our regular posters here...but Im still holding to this. Whether or not we pull a 2016 one and done not sure. Hopefully we sustain for a bit after. Baby steps tho...these maps are a nice signal.

It is funny in a way that I toss junk out in my yard and those bucks are a common site tbh. Yet don the camo, put the cover spray on, use a call, and sit in a blind for 12 hrs and see nothing. My neighbor who avidly hunts is always cursing under his breath when he sees them in the yard lol.

Epic post PSU.

That's it. Pretty sure that was the year of the epic unicorn LR ensemble pattern as well. That ridging in central Canada was forecast to progress into the NAO region across the ensembles and become an epic block....our savior. Iirc it ended up being too much of a good thing?

Honestly we all know the NAM is overdone. Up this way I expect a few periods of mood flakes/flurries at best. Maybe we can verify an actual "snow shower". But this might be overly optimistic.

Rule number one we hug the snowiest and most obscure model.

CMC has ging on by a thread for Christmas Eve/Day but continues to slow precip advance so subsequently it allows the BL to warm enough and the snow chart keeps ticking N. But let's not get ahead of ourselves....NAM says we whiten things Friday possibly enough to last thru the holiday

And there's exactly what it looked like lol. Thanks @CAPE It is all about where that look progresses at h5. That look itself verbatim really doesn't do much for us.

I remember a pattern like this a few years back sorry I don't recall specifically, but there was a sprawling 500mb ridge across Canada, we'll thought this has got to produce, and I'm almost certain we got shutout due to temp issues and cold air source blocked.

Best. Christmas present. Ever.

Shocker

Can the GGEM be right just this one time? A Christmas miracle?

This little guy wandered into my yard after I tossed out a pumpkin for the squirrels.

We do cold/dry and warm/wet better than any region. ..I'm willing to wager on this.

Tossed a pumpkin into the yard and invited a friend apparently

18z NAMming with the bullseye here and still snowing after this frame

GEPS and GEFS with 2 markedly different looks at range. Would be quite a contrast wrt apparent weather for us:

Looks like spv going to get squeezed.

One major factor is the -PDO....been negative phase since 2016ish. If we can ever get that to flip to positive for a bit I have a feeling that will impact our wintry weather for the better. No end in sight for that according to the PDO outlooks.

You should know better. Regular season stats are wonderful. Win the big game. I agree tho...he's a stud. Always been one of my top 2 or 3. Just win post season. I don't want to hear excuses like the coaches designed a poor game plan, etc. His legacy will always be just a great seasonal qb. We had that in Philly...Donovan McNabb. Stud...could never win the big games. I'm pulling for Lamar...I am. And not just because the Eagles match up well against him