CFS has us not too brutally cold and not warm either thus has us right on the edge for many systems between now and PD...fwiw. So yeah, a little push back on the SER tendencies and it really wont take much. I think we are in a fine spot tbh with no signs of pac puke, no linkup between nao and said ser, and that Mongolian air readily available with near constant ridging in the epo region.