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Ralph Wiggum

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  1. Ralph Wiggum
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Time for a trip to BK for a Whopper. You're on board....generally a good sign.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    I recall a March 13 storm (no not 1993 lol) I think in 2017 where we had a similar situation and the 12k NAM was the only one that had sleet and mixing very far NW. Majority shrugged it off as being out to lunch. Guess which verified? Yep the 12k. Other mesos had a monster snow hit but the sleet line punched W all the way to near Harrisburg iirc. Not calling for a repeat just saying the mesos arent always right.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Hrrr coming in colder yet again so the trend for tonight continues. Good hit i95 corridor on N and W.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Should be a batch of heavy stuff sliding SW to NE in Southeast PA shortly after 11pm-ish tonight. That will be what we should be watching to hopefully cool the column as you alluded to.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Battle of the mesos for tonight. Hrrr is colder where it matters as is the 12k NAM. However the 3k NAM warms 850s quite a bit more and farther NW than 6z even with a better slp track. The 3k actually was colder thru about 11pm at 850mb vs the 6z run but then goes bonkers warming that layer subsequently. One would think the 3k should be handling thermals better so for now I am going to give it some credence yet raise an eyebrow to the colder solutions.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Decided to just go ahead and make this thread since there was some confusion on where to discuss the event for tonight and early tomorrow morning. Latest Hrrr and mesos have trended even colder yet again. Here is the Hrrr for this event which does not include current snowfall. It is all snow here now. Looks like 3-4" in my area of Bucks Co per this model.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Less snowy and faster moving out than prior runs so not sure exactly what you're definition of 'pretty good' is.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    So do your negative posts.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Congrats y'all! The year of the overproducer for my Southern friends. GL everyone and enjoy! @Jebman should be proud of this!
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Just wanted to pop in and say good luck to everyone in this subforum. You all have been very welcoming to us Northerners and I am genuinely excited to see y'all cash-in. Hope it exceeds expectations!
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    A good example of how a handful of us had this period circled since just after Thanksgiving because of the pattern looks on the LR ens. Globals currently portray basically what we were looking at....+pna, nao ridge, 50/50 low, stj energy passing below us. But this is a prime example of how a meso feature or 2 embedded within those good looks can screw the whole thing up. You noted these features very well in your post.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Is that another suppressed S VA, Carolinas hit at day 9-10 on the Euro? That's where we want it at this range right? Eta: nm....too warm everywhere
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Not sure if it has been posted earlier but GEFS have a cluster of members just off the coast of VA CMC-like while the other cluster is well East. All or nothing event incoming??
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Also yielded an increase in striped bass and monster bluefish at least down my way. Best fishing in years!
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Link?
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Who was qg_omega before the username change? Sent from my LG-V410 using Tapatalk
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Maybe Larry C was omto something and should have stuck with his original thoughts for a warmup. 6z GFS says winter ends and spring begins next week. I say bring it!
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Euro has solid HP dominating where others have some sort of storm.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    He obviously saw the new trends past 24 hours. His posts on FB especially have been borderline trolling a mild pattern emerging. Glad he's on board finally!
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Just read Larry Cosgrove's newsletter. Paraphrasing, he states the cold pattern beginning tomorrow will be short-lived and transient replaced with near normal temps by early next week. Mentions zero threats for wintry weather on the horizon. He is locked in for a mild pattern evolving in 10 days with cold bottled up over AK with Canada/USA mild as a whole. He says he isnt sure how long the mild pattern lasts but there is no getting around the return to mild as the pattern continues to be MJO driven. Hate to say it but he's been fairly spot-on this season.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    We are two of a kind.....that is my exact 'winter' time frame as well. Anything after VD is usually wet slop and melts relatively quickly. Not like those mid January storms that accumulate on roads to where Penndot is still salting and pushing piles around still for 3-4 days after the storm.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Kind of made a point there for the other side. There used to be a time where it was meteorology and not modelology. Not saying Glenn model mongers.....I don't think he does, BUT there are those pros that 'forget' how to forecast IMHO and solely follow the models. True meteorology is becoming a lost art.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Where's the nbc10 weather truck?
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    JB and Cosgrove essentially agree tho LC says all of January a complete washout until the very end of the month.
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