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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Driving from warminster to blue Bell at 6am was a disaster. Sheet of ice. Lots of vehicles spun out.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS is wacky. Very unorthodox 850 temp progression. Not sure I recall seeing 850s cool like this with a ripping SE wind.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    850s are AN as the system approaches across the board on guidance. Antecedent airmass is stale cold and flow is off the ocean from the ESE. I can see this possibly being something for higher elevations well inland but the I95 crew is going to miss out on this one. Maybe some wet flakes mixed in towards the end. Certainly time for changes but these situations where East of the fall line is hoping for cold air wrapping in faster or a system manufacturing it's own cold air seldom work out.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    What are the 850s during the critical panels rather than after the precip is out?
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    My parents talk about Christmas 66 quite alot. My mom said 'Santa' forgot an important part of one of my older brother's gifts and she sent my dad out in the blizzard on Christmas Eve to get it at the store. He got stuck a block from the house, abandoned the car, walked to the store which wasnt exactly close, and walked all the way home in the storm. 'Santa' came thru! To this day my dad still laughs while busting her chops about sending him out in that wild weather.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Dryslot is unavoidable. Back edge is creeping in.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Guidance/ens members with near perfect track all have one thing in common....lack of cold air source. Everything is bottled in Canada. We dont do well holding out hope for storms to "manufacture their own cold air pool".
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Disagree....I bet the Euro jumps ship tonight. It's around that range now. And the fact there was zero support on the EPS is a no brainer where this is heading.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    How is a LP over Philly a 'coastal'? Not asking for any friends.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    They closed their blinds for 10 days.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    CMC with a worse track ie an inside runner or right on the coast, yet is colder and snowier. OK I'm sure that'll work out.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Actually a really good point. We've seen so many MR flips and trends so who knows. But why is it always when we need a flip to the good we rarely ever get it yet the other way around is almost a given....the old being in the bullseye 5+ days out thing.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Have a feeling there was a typo. Probably was meant to read .1?
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Seriously tho....whenever the day comes and we actually all get a warning level event again it is going to feel damn good. The waiting is the hardest part but the reward will be worth it.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    This is one of the rare crap seasons that something is saying it isnt over. Normally I would have bailed 2 weeks ago lol. But I really think hl blocking is going to show up at the tail end and provide 1 nice storm. I really wouldnt be shocked if we wait the entire season then end the 2nd half of Feb with back to back storms. Would love a back to back holiday blitz....Valentine's and PD.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    So when @psuhoffman said if things still look bleak on Jan 15 it's pretty much time to pack it in and being that we are 3 days past that date and .... yeah. Has the time come?
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Frozen is over. Ended with 1.8" snow/sleet here.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Nasty here. Straight ice storm sleet/fzra mix. 28f. Everything is a sheet of ice....numerous accidents.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Pretty sure it has most of the day?
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Maybe I'm misreading it....I'm running a loop and sure looks like the panhandle low heads NE and the upper low over the Plains captures a different low. Either way it's a different solution.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Looks like you jumped at the right time. I'm giving it until Feb 10. If nothing on the horizon I'm out.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    No. That low ends up over NC. There is an ULL that pops a surface low in Indiana.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    When the euro shows a wonky solution it's pretty much congrats New England.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Largest event of the season. 1" out there!!! Amazing.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    I started an obs thread:
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