Very striking similarities. I personally was praying for the nao ridge to split just enough to allow for a weakness in the flow for it to be drawn a bit more north. It happened.
Crazy to look at the gfs op h5 and see essentially the same damn thing. This is going to be stressful tracking for many. Potential is there, keep expectations tempered for now.
I will go on record as saying there is actually a bit more upside possible still with this one wrt the NAO region still showing some ridging and blockiness. Anyone saying I need to show more optimism, well, there ya go.
Plenty of opportunities coming. Might not be a 'mint epic perfect unicorn' pattern but those rarely produce. We just need a pattern without pAC puke and cold air nearby and we will get our chances. Doesnt need to be textbook.
A few of us were also urging 'cautious' optism having been thru this year-in and year-out. But yeah, the social media warriors were hammering on 100% certainty. Still optimistic on my end at least, albeit tiptoeing cautiously in here.
I know, just thought it was comical to see after hearing all day how epic the pattern is going to be at that same time.
Gefs completely different probably.
We dont need a ton of patience this year. We've already discussed this in the other sub, please keep up
Next line is "buckle up", which we are teetering on attm.
Realizing its just the op but cant help noticing several runs now how active the stj is starting to look. No shortage of southern disturbances moving across