Ralph Wiggum

Just got to doylestown , heavier , norman rockwell , snow

On my way into telford again. Eyeballing was a fresh inch or inch and a quarter at my house. Fairly moderate snow in warrington , twenty eight degrees.

The chances we waste this window are 50/50. They are never "low".

0z Hrrr is a 2 waver tomorrow...one 4am-10am then a more significant wave backing in 3pm-9pm. When was the last tine we got Hrrr'd?

I posted in the other sub last week but dont want to poke a hornets nest....this type of pattern progression (Jan 23-Jan 30 give or take a day) in a Nina has alot of potential. Also has a lot of potential heartbreak. I mentioned it before but this shouldnt be brushed over...as the PNA ridge begins to amplifying with energy riding the stj, the heights out ahead rise. Thus, the Jan 24 thing could very well slide N and W or at the very least the boundary may setup farther N than we would like. Subsequently, as the PNA fires and joins with the EPO ridge, the next big stj wave riding thru for the Jan 27-29 thing could end up suppressed or a slider. Again, Im not saying this will happen, but I do urge caution as the biggest fail potential with Jan 24-25 is cutter or boundary too far N, then the fail potential for Jan 27-29 shifts to suppression or slider. Yeah, there are some nice teases on the individual deterministic runs, but keep expectations in check. At least we arent tracking a PAC puke pattern and have some chances. Thats all we know for sure right now.

Had one from OH last year it was a play on PA Dutch Scrapple..it was so damn good!

Im about to have dinner service at our restaurant. I fully expect when I log on later to be seeing stories of HECS and ejecting bowling balls. So, make it happen!

Dry slot

How does one whom lives in SE PA acquire this brew? Road trip to where? Please, direct this lost soul.

About to get NAM'd

Biggest run since.....12z!

Looking ahead, the STJ may put a dent in the drought situation. Its a start at least. Then we move to a Nino late summer.

My wife has a birthday on the 20th and since the day we met she reminds me it always snows on her birthday give or take a couple days either side. And shes not wrong.

But did you see the Allen Iverson Euro triple phaser for the 29th?

You can always watch the Flyers get shellacked. Get a couple injuries and the team folds.

4.25" here in Telford, winding down. 4" back home im told and still ripping. BTW, tomorrow 5am. @RedSkyall is right in the world....daytime snow back to back days!

Euro AI puts all its eggs in the Jan 27-29 basket. Pretty sure most of us would take this look at this range. Eta: just a triple phaser based on h5 vort, nothing to goon over

Just some good blocking as nacho said.

But in a Nino we dont always have the cold air with the NS being more lax. We can thank this Nina for the abundance of arctic air around, imho.

Its the op so grain of salt, but geez....look out West says stj is just beginning to warm up. And those looks up top and out West are chef's kiss

Unclear if the 25th is the big one or 29th, or both. But 25th can hit followed by an Archabault near the 29th as the NAO briefly flips positive. Loving the loaded pattern. Sometimes the last in succession when a tellie flips is the one we do this hobby for, so we'll see.

Looks like as pna builds back in at 216 a split flow develops with stj energy feed undercutting the ridge.

And....even if this isnt exactly what we want, there is the next one on its heels a few days later. Roll the dice enough and we win.

Looks like the ice storm some were honking about.

Allen Iverson GFS has a BIG system on the 29th as well fwiw. Alot of fucking potential guys.