The pattern evolution is much more supportive of NC and VA seeing a couple events. That is actually much more fitting tbh. We missed N, E, and W so far so now let's establish a window where S gets in on the action right?
We wont. Not seeing any hints or signals this March like we did the past several. Hopefully we will have severe. Not sure if the past few decent spring severe were due to the late winter events. If so maybe not a good omen.
There was research done not directly related to the PV that seasons with well BN snowfall and AN temps yield a hotter summer. It is posted by Don in the Philly sub.
It will wait for the cold airmass to recede in the East then head east imo. I realize some are saying "but this is different". Doesnt seem drastically different to my eye aside from the look of a late season start of a transition to an early spring pattern.
Eta: damn you @C.A.P.E.
Gonna go out on a limb here and say that look will begin to dampen out and blocking wont be as strong hence energy probably heads right over us as opposed to our South....congrats upstate PA into New England....again.
We haven't seen that happen at all this winter when the LR showed workable looks have we?
Your one word of caution in all of your posts have been the final word most of the time. Nailed it.
Another window between the 20th and 29th. The last hurrah....hopefully. Most of us here are ready to move on to spring. That in itself sure guarantee some fluke snows and prolonged BN temps.
It sure can. We could get 0 snow. I know statistics say next year should be better but that doesn't mean it will be. I thought last year was bad....I would have paid money to have a repeat 2018-19 if I knew 2019-20 would be this brutal.