Agreed. And if anything the means have been hinting that feature retrogrades West. Even hints it develops into a PNA ridge. Odd evolution but who knows.
So that energy just completely disintegrates and meanwhile the clipper disturbance gets sucked into the block vortex. Ok, sure that will play out like that.
If it is more elongated and doesn't penetrate as far South, we could get screwed. But who knows.
Eta: what I'm saying is, if the block pulls out prematurely then all bets are off
Im not PSU but....Trof digs in the west, flat SER thanks to -NAO raging keeping it at bay. Waves eject out of SW and head NE and overrun the cold air locked in via confluence under the 50/50. Think thump.
Wait. He predicted what the model would predict with help from his "predictor"? I think I've heard it all. So is this the new forecasting... we predict what we think the models will show? Count me in!
The pattern with the cold air establishing in our source region is just starting in 3 days. Im cautiously optimistic. If we fail, so be it. If we score then I make naked snow angels.