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Ralph Wiggum

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  1. Ralph Wiggum
    That looks like a Miller A, good call. Those can transfer or redevelop but im pretty certain the defining characteristic is it doesn't really enter the Midwest, OV, Tenn Valley to transfer. That storm u mentioned basically hugged the FL panhandle then jumped off the GA coast. So I would classify that as a straight Miller A and yeah, probably the last true one we've had. Rare for sure.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    ICON transitioned to a hybrid miller a/b at the surface with clear characteristics of both with a definite southern draw before a move into the tenn Valley, triple point, then transfer off Carolina coast. When was the last pure Miller A? Serious question, we were discussing in another forum and nobody had a clear answer. Seems most are B or hybrid.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    ICON has trended towards a Hybrid Miller A/B....has characteristics of both with slp coming out of Plains moving along the South then up into the Tennessee Valley before transferring off the Carolina Coast.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    ICON tracks it West. Snow to mix. I can certainly see a scenario like this playing out...classic thump to mix or rain. Sets us up our arctic push and 50/50 for the period later next week that I am interested in. Dont see this weekend as a clean snow hit attm. Suppose it could trend tho. Busy tracking times!
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Noice! Had the wrong GEFS...looks steady
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Soooo a threading of the needle you say?
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Spoke too soon. Heaviest snow of the day attm. New dusting in past 5 mins.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Impressive for BAM BAM. CMC is also frigid. Atmospheric chef has the first ingredient for the main course. I heard the gravy is delicious.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    From your finally charged mobile device to God's ears. Bring it home!
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Still snowing here in Ivyland as well. Not much additional accum. Looks like 13.5" here is the final.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    I'm not seeing that at all tbh. Most guidance isn't as amped up and miss any phasing until too late...congrats E New England. Lets see what the ens do....they weren't enthusiastic at 0z
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Careful what you wish for
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Tread lightly, could be delayed to day 10
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    I really like the day 9ish threat. Stj wave, hp to the north, pv nearby, overunning, relaxing nao phase. This weekend is threading a needle, the followup has more play in the atmosphere.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    The day 9 threat look more favorable than the weekend one. Relaxing nao, southern stream overunning, sprawling hp. Im all in
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Miller SOB?
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    More accumulating snows here albeit light over the past hour. Up to 13.5" and still snowing. 29F
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    March 2001...20"-30" widespread forecast just 12 hrs before event. Most spots across SE PA saw 1-2". THAT is a bust.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Yeah yeah I looked quickly at the surface and saw weakness near the GL, triple point, and a storm near Hatteras and it looked like a miller b redeveloping. Hopefully we can keep the Miller a signal and this doesn't go hybrid with later coastal development
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Was referring to him creating this post early evening yesterday which was about midway
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    I just heard from a friend that this actually smells more of a Miller A, so perhaps that's the aroma you're catching.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Right? People should always wait until the event is completely over. Not saying anything more significant accumulates, but cancelling at the midway point sometimes isn't the best course of action.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Amazing!!!
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Wrong (wrt crapping on the threat) Many here seem happy with the storm currently pulling away....I haven't been in here. Certainly not dismissing the threat, just suggesting if either of our areas get bullseyed with another Miller B with 4 days+ lead time we should be realistic and keep expectations in check knowing Miller b track history.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Careful. Unless u can get lobes of the PV or the entire PV phasing that can spell a dry and cold period. But as we saw as recently as the past few days, our chances will go up when the blocking relaxes. Again, thats assuming the PV doesn't play into our storm threats. I like the chances going forward for sure. We aren't even close to being done tracking. The warm Nina Feb outlooks certainly won't verify over the next 10 days at least.
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