Not getting overly excited just yet. These runs put us in the game. But this was a SC storm just 30 hours or so ago. Could still move around a bit the next several days.
CMC is quite a bit colder BUT also loses the primary faster. More realistic storm with our region being on the Northern edge. Close call tho because the tilt is neg and almost appears the slp gets pulled N for a frame or 2.
Agreed. And right on the heels...nary a break in between. CMC tries to phase another piece of the PV into the back of the trof now too. This is escalating quickly. Go to bed before Dr No comes in.
Damn! The CMC is so close to phasing in a second lobe of the PV extension on the backside of the trof now. I dont think any other model is showing this tho.
Looking at thermals, NAM actually was quite a bit warmer. ICON just came in way N c-2" for most S of I-80. I don't think we are done with the ticks N and warming yet either.
18z Euro is 3-6" here in Central Bucks. Mostly all snow.
2-4" here in Warminster area with 5" lollis is my first guess (more sleet = lower end, all snow = higher end of range with the 5" spots). 1-3" south of TP with mixing issues. Subject to change.