Ralph Wiggum
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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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GFS is the old Euro from 5 years ago. CMC is the old GFS with a fantasy storm every run that usually doesn't materialize Euro is the old GFS and plays catchup to the others. Don't ask how we got here, but here we are in 2022.
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You aren't wrong. GFS has been taking the euro/eps to the cleaners this month.
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And the euro control on top of that.
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I know you already know this but the control run should never really be used as guidance. It is used for perturbation in the individual ens members.
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-SN here 35F
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I almost hit one of those suckers on Bristol Road tonight during the heavier snow. Jumped right in front missed by a foot. That would have been a major buzzkill.
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37F here in Warminster. Looks like final tally was 2.4" for that round. Maybe we can get a sneaky half inch or so more snow tomorrow in spots.
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Looks like the NAM has snow showers off and on all day tomorrow.
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Like a light switch, flipped to all sleet here in Ivyland. 29F.
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Hearing pingers now in Ivyland.
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I can attest to this in lower central Bucks. 28F and 2.1" so far.
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F Dallas
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Damn, why can't the low just jump 75 miles off the coast and start bombing? Always hate the flip even when knowing it was inevitable for 4 or 5 days.
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Puking snow here now. 1.5" on the board
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Ivyland 26F SN+
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Mister Jack Barry
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The next weekend thing looks good on the 18z GFS.
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Flakes flying here in Blue Bell. Hopefully it's ripping fatties on my ride to Warminster in an hour.
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The little victories are often the ones that matter the most in life. You will take your 5 minutes of daytime flakeage and enjoy sir.
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I wish this was the lingo On-Camera mets used That would make for good entertainment.
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GFS is the best model at handling the PJ. Nina has a pronounced and active PJ. That probably has something to do with it.
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Garbage model man. Where is the old euro GFS is king.
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Bingo. Im sure there will be some icing. But this isn't a major ice storm signal at all. I've been at 21F before and pouring rain....not fzra...just rain. Latent heat release didn't allow for ice accretion. Best icing conditions are lighter precip.
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Not since the upgrade a couple years ago. However, whatever they tweaked to fix that bias seems to have screwed up the old Euro wheelhouse 3-7 day forecasts.
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Up to 3" snow here tonight (KDYL) then plain rain by midnight. A burst of snow in the morning Monday....maybe a quick coating. Then all eyes turn to the end of the week.....
