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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. GFS is a conveyor belt of systems thru first week of Feb+. Lots of tracking potential ahead.
  2. Well, models suggest if both systems next week fail, we have Jan 31-Feb 1 storm to track. GFS doing its normal cutter thing, CMC more aggressive with the cold push and blocking. Regardless, both models are active asf and one system after the other thru first week of Feb. Plenty of chances.
  3. Oh snap, near my old stomping grounds. Familiar with Secane? Used to live a block from Imperial Pizza.
  4. Exactly....2 completely different UA looks and still 2 solidly acceptable outcomes. This one has more going for it than most recent systems have.
  5. GEFS are different in Canada but still a massive hit with some wiggle room and upside still.
  6. GEFS aren't buying what the CMC is selling wrt the TPV lobe to the North. Totally different looks in Canada. Looking forward to the GEPS.
  7. If that NS (tpv) lobe placement is correct, just a little more southerly nudge or wobble of that Rex block and we are talking HECS+
  8. So do you think DC is the N brick wall with this one?
  9. Congrats VA. Bullseye a week out, what could possibly go wrong? (Hint: ask SC)
  10. The CMC is going neg tilt. So close to getting the tpv or a piece of it to interact.
  11. Maybe those tucked 6z GEFS slp plots around VA Beach have some legs.
  12. TPV lobe boogies on out quickly this run. Looks norther.
  13. GFS is suddenly the most aggressive model wrt snowfall/frozen. 4-6" here, some sleet.
  14. I'm comparing the 500mb maps at hr 72 vs 6z and the ridging and energy are both ticked N sir....more notable at 78 onward. Early in the run your glance was right. Where it matters things look torched and N.
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