Looking at thermals, NAM actually was quite a bit warmer. ICON just came in way N c-2" for most S of I-80. I don't think we are done with the ticks N and warming yet either.
18z Euro is 3-6" here in Central Bucks. Mostly all snow.
2-4" here in Warminster area with 5" lollis is my first guess (more sleet = lower end, all snow = higher end of range with the 5" spots). 1-3" south of TP with mixing issues. Subject to change.
Most of Southern part of PA was about to get NAM'd at 18z but the run ended right as it was ramping up. Setup looks like it would be all or majority snow.
Comical...GFS/GEFS and CMC/GEPS were lax yesterday with the late week system where the Euro/EPS were honking. Today they completely reverse roles...GFS/CMC families honking more than the Euro/EPS from yesterday while the Euro/EPS crap the bed completely. You can't make this stuff up.
I think with the euro upgrades in an effort to rid the Southwest bias of holding back shortwaves and energy it is notably overcompensating in the MR/LR these days and has been too fast at times with the stj coming out of the Southwest. Likely one of the many reasons the model isn't quite as reliable as it once was.
Try convincing your wife to buy a cabin up in Redfield NY. Mine thinks it's a weekend place...but hoping to make it a permanent residence at least for a couple of years.