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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. I absolutely refuse to stay up for the Euro. Going to bed on a positive note.
  2. WOOF WOOF!!!! Hold the primary longer allows for bombing farther N and W. Well I'll be a sonofabish
  3. WTF did the GFS just do....holds that primary alot longer.
  4. Surface low is actually farther W and maybe a mile N of the 12z run.
  5. Looking at thermals, NAM actually was quite a bit warmer. ICON just came in way N c-2" for most S of I-80. I don't think we are done with the ticks N and warming yet either.
  6. We just got NAM'd. Am I reading that right 5-10" mainly snow here?
  7. Nice cluster of stronger lows just S of Nags Head North to VA Beach latitude on the 18z.
  8. 18z Euro is 3-6" here in Central Bucks. Mostly all snow. 2-4" here in Warminster area with 5" lollis is my first guess (more sleet = lower end, all snow = higher end of range with the 5" spots). 1-3" south of TP with mixing issues. Subject to change.
  9. Guess that clustering of lows there from the 6z GEFS has legs.
  10. 18z GFS doubles down on the late week system. Farther N. Stronger sw, better ridging out in front. Getting closer.
  11. GFS doubling down. 90% of the season the Euro/EPS caved to the GFS except with the Jan 25 system. Can we get the magic back?!?
  12. Looks better. Stronger sw, tpv slower to pull out of central Canada, separation, more ridging thru 108.
  13. Headed ESE out of WV. Follow the snow trajectory and verbatim that's a decent hit. But NAM at range and all those caveats.
  14. Most of Southern part of PA was about to get NAM'd at 18z but the run ended right as it was ramping up. Setup looks like it would be all or majority snow.
  15. Comical...GFS/GEFS and CMC/GEPS were lax yesterday with the late week system where the Euro/EPS were honking. Today they completely reverse roles...GFS/CMC families honking more than the Euro/EPS from yesterday while the Euro/EPS crap the bed completely. You can't make this stuff up.
  16. I think with the euro upgrades in an effort to rid the Southwest bias of holding back shortwaves and energy it is notably overcompensating in the MR/LR these days and has been too fast at times with the stj coming out of the Southwest. Likely one of the many reasons the model isn't quite as reliable as it once was.
  17. Try convincing your wife to buy a cabin up in Redfield NY. Mine thinks it's a weekend place...but hoping to make it a permanent residence at least for a couple of years.
  18. That one could actually be the best potential of the next 3 IF things progress the way they are progged.
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