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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Not sure. We could be the dividing line in Central Bucks. 3k nam has a stronger low off the coast and slightly colder wedge.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    The more i look at the mesos for tomorrow, the more i get the feeling parts of the area are in for a rude awakening with freezing drizzle and light freezing rain with temps upper 20s to 30 most of the day.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    I dont see right now how the day 7 system doesnt undergo the same shred/shear as every other system that has taken the same trajectory all season. Its a wash, rinse, repeat thing. We all know how remainder of this season will play out....threats at days 7-10 that trend to meh most of Feb....Likely some warming days later into Feb, then things get convoluted and turn topsy turvy in March with clusters of well BN temp days and a couple of pasting snow events by mid Month. This is the new norm.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    So is our new winter norm
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    I seriously wouldn't bet on that.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Probably our highlight for the week.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Tired of kicking the can. The period is producing trackable event but I'm pretty sure I speak for most on here when I say wtf is the point in tracking if all systems fail.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    If there are going to be any notable changes with this, it will likely be in the modeling over the next 24-36 hrs as the energy associated with the system moves onshore and traverses the Rockies. With these more significant systems, history has taught us that it is this period that might cause some shifting around, but we'll see. This one looks fairly close on most guidance attm.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    PNA ridge is better each run too. Wont make a diff until its offshore tho but would have been nice to get it to amplify more and go negative earlier.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS is a nice run after this storm as well. Patience finally paying off??
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    GEFS...strong clustering N and W (108 and 114):
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Geez u couldn't draw the red line 7 miles farther N for me?
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    GEFS are noice
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    96 hrs pls
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    FWIW, the GEFS thru 72 are much weaker and farther N with the tpv piece as well. Should see some more members leaning N this suite.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Going to bed before the euro sh!ts on the parade.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Fringed
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    If that tpv adjustment N is real, there should be continued improvement at the surface going forward I would think. Took a big jump with that feature.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Ji should like this run...but probably too fast moving for his liking so maybe not
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    No way this misses.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Might be playing with fire this run....
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Noted. Main vort a little less organized but looks farther N. Might offset?
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    TPV farther N on 0z gfs already evident at 78hrs vs 18z.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Yet the slp is centered over Birmingham, Alabama and trucking ENE. But yeah, H5 looks ok.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Nothing matters till tonight's runs anyway The most important model suite of our lives!
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