Ralph Wiggum

There's no doubt there will be some sort of a relax period (delayed January thaw?) which we traditionally see every season. It is cool to see it continue to get delayed tho. Wonder if the duration shortens as well? Btw, if next Saturday happens, kudos to the LR guidance for showing this in unison at a few points last week.

Maybe, but keep in mind that's a strat chart and not what's necessarily going on at the trop level. Would still think seeing some of the height amomalies depicted that would couple down to the trop.

Re-cancel?

Yeah, that look way up there would probably have the TPV on the wobble. No lack of cold air source.

No wonder the epo ridge at 500mb has been semi-constant all winter when there are pos anomalies in that region all the way to 67,000 feet. Geez.

Dang, im going to need to get my snowblower, shovel, and salt back out of storage. I had packed it away last night after seeing the winter cancel posts yesterday from some of y'all

If we get the cold press up top I don't mind a flat SER at all. Overunning swf pattern ftw. A blend of eps cold and gefs flat ser would work just fine.

Yeah 18z on the 24th, at least up this way, was the one where it grazes NJ. Down there if may have picked up on the shift a couple cycles earlier. No model really ever showed a direct hit up this way iirc.

But Siriani when playing Carolina who was ranked dead last againt the run decided to pass and avoided running. He is a strange coach and can be consistent asf for 6 straight....just deadly, then have a game totally against anything they had done all season and you just scratch your head. My theory is you come out doing what got you the dubs all season and adjust during the game as needed. Dont adjust to your opponent before the ball is even kicked off.

Washington scares me as an Eagle fan, ngl. Philly (Siriani) is past due for throwing out his usual bullshit game plan. Everyone saying this is going to be a close game. I'm not feeling that. One of the 2 teams will rout the other. Someone is going to show up with a poor game plan. Whether that is Washington just focusing on injuring Hurts and getting burned or the Eagles trying to throw a ruse and all out air assault with Hurts getting picked 4 times dunno. But when e eryone says close game, expect the opposite. Good luck, may the better prepared team win!

I also think Philly 'climo' will come into play. There have been more post season/winter snowfall appearances for Philly, so that may be a factor. They are veterans in clearing snowfall while others are on the sidelines just watching. Those post winter snows are rare in Washington for a reason.

I support this look

Next Sunday starting to light up on guidance. EPS and GEFS are showing as wave slides under the region with cold air filtering it atthe same time.

Happy Anniversay to those who celebrate. Can't believe it has been a quarter century! https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/January_2000_North_American_blizzard I remember watching the models 48 hours prior. I believe we had the MRF, it's sister "high res" avn that went to 72(?), the ETA to 48, and the NGM. All models iirc had a low racing ENE off the GA/SC Coast. I remember particularly seeing the ETA the morning of the 24th had the low stronger, much stronger, but was still well ots. Then 12z on the 24th closer. Then next run closer and a coastal grazing. No model I dont think had it until it happened. We were on mirc #neweather chat....me, randy iirc, Marcus, ian....we were watching the radar at 0z and saying it didn't match the models. And it was on!! What a memorable event! Had around a foot where I'm at but we sleeted and dry slotted as it exploded and occluded.

ICON has a quick 1-3" clipper next Wednesday for parts of the region.

Great post. 100% accurate. We dont stick a fork until April 2...earliest. The best is yet to to come...true story.

See, you went ahead and broke the site. That's why we can't have nice things Mitch.

That window has been on the radar for at least 4 days now. Big ones, early, etc

Out of fairness, most of them haven't tho?

That'll wrap it up. Good game and good playoffs. I like the new format personally.

LFG

For the first half anyway. When we get to VD, we start relying more on BN.

Well, they are +2000 odds now at the half so why not put 2$ on the comeback to pay 40$?

So cool man. Really good stuff. Can't be mad at them. Only DC

Not just the NAM bro, this is legit. Some spots in FL will surpass some of our current seasonal totals. But I cannot be mad, it is ultra rare.