Euro will do some extreme nonsense now like pull the slp over Vineland and dryslot all of se pa. We rarely get a model sweep unless its a miss or less than 12 hrs out.
Gorgeous run...utter beatdown. Thermals are iffy along i95 but perfect track. Gotta smell the rain to get the best snows. R/s line crashes SE quickly tho
Didn't see the RGEM posted but that ticked NW too. Still snowing at end of run. Sharp cutoff tho to the left of that deform band. Someone is going to get majorly shafted
3k NAM is better...much weaker/flatter with that vort.over New England around 54 I mentioned earlier....looks tucked into VA Beach. SLP depiction at 60 is actually inland. Fairly far S too
Breaks and light/moderate ... for now. Has room for upside. Learned from the past better to start conservative and tick up than go balls deep at 12" to start and have to keep shaving.
Conservatively I would say this looks like a moderate event (at the least) with 4-6" being likely and the *potential* for around a foot of snow on the higher end all relative to location.