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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    6z is a vertically stacked monster reminiscent of Jan.25, 2000. Below are the 250, 500, 700, 850 maps valid 1am feb 1. Verbatim a big hit especially interior. Dry slot would assuredly push into the metros as the system occludes, again jan.25, 2000ish. Alas, plenty of time to go for better or worse. There is plenty that could go wrong here. Gotta run.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Thats a vertically stacked system at 6z or very close. Someone mentioned jan 25, 2000. I cant unsee it.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Euro AI:
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Euro AI has been on fire at this range (4-6 days). I would lean towards that.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    That separation of 50/50 and better positioning of h5 ull is drool worthy. Nao ridge and pna arent too shabby either.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Eps for Feb 1:
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    7.8" snow/2.7" sleet 30.4" on the winter
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    I like that moisture near the TV associated with the closed ull. That would probably be a capture on the next frame and slp either stalling on the coast or drifting NNE.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    I did exactly that. Was making sure the sleet amount (2.7")is totaled 1:1 as snow (2.7"). Still sleeting and another batch still to roll thru later.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Coastal low finally took over. A little too late. 1005mb vs 1008mb in OV
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    So when we are adding sleet to our totals for the day, do you just measure the depth 1:1?
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Who is staying up for the 0z euro?
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    I agree as we have already witnessed bigger longwave features adjust in shorter time.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Caution needed wrt glancing ahead at LR unicorn patterns, but this is sort of what im referring to. All 3 ens going into mid feb are loading up with a split out west, +pna, -Ao, -nao with the pattern setting up to flip/relax. When that nao flips to positive is a period of interest. In short, if next 10+ days are dry and cold, I have a good feeling we arent quite finished yet.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Plenty of time for things to change as we have already seen this season, but biggest thing going against it is the ridge axis out west not being stout enough to allow for amplification in time which yields a system bombing just offshore downstream. Has an eyebrow raised tho.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Plenty of time for things to change as we have already seen this season, but biggest thing going against it is the ridge axis out west not being stout enough to allow for amplification in time which yields a system bombing just offshore downstream. Has an eyebrow raised tho.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    We talked about this yesterday and now Bob C is on board as well. If we get a look like that going into mid month. All bets are off. And it is showing across the ens. This could be our literal Archambault. The nao won't last forever, its going to flip. And when it does we generally cash in. Couple this with a -ao and ridging out west, its easy to see why some of us are lighting up.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Would be awesome. But in all honesty I think we r toast for the next 10 days minimum as the cold will be overwhelming the pattern. Maybe we can cash in on a clipper refresher. But I think when the cold starts to relax after the 4th, thats when we will score again and extending into the middle of the month. The book-end type thing with the cold pattern sandwiched in-between.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    CMC getting dissed. Not only was it in line with the NAM mix line, but did better with the thump.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Mix of sleet and fzra here (80/20), temp holding at 14F.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Seeing more reports of freezing rain now. Hopefully we can get the precip out in the next few hrs.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Flakes mixing back in here. Up to a balmy 13F
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Going off his text, I cant confirm.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    My buddy in Wallingford getting freezing rain and 23 attm. He said no more pinging just raining.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Interestingly enough, pouring sleet here and temp back down to 10F from 12F.
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