Ralph Wiggum

The ens means like a more Northerly track. Under the hood it seems there are a few members NW of us, a few big dogs in our region, and a cluster of weaker systems to the South...so the means could be skewed. Regardless, should make for a fun week of tracking. Glad I took vacation this week!

I really thought a few days ago it was going to sit longer and come out delayed after the 27th. Still could, I suppose. But I am quite OK with it being ejected as depicted on the ens means and getting an ECS this weekend.

I forgot, 98% of yous guys want to be in the bullseye at this range, so yeah...

CMC was really close to a long duration event. And to have the system just S of us all at this range is all we can ask for.

Winds have veered around out of the N here in Telford now. Steady light snow continues. 28F.

Wow, a few of us (not all) thought 1/24ish thing was going to be too far N but set the stage for the followup. Now suppression for the 1st storm, who knows what the Baja Blast goon system is going to do. Very volatile.and very active period tho.

AI GFS long duration thing

I was saying keep asshat we dont want him in PA and in return I would stay there. Dear lord ha! Allen Iverson GFS is SICK for the 25th.

You guys can keep him. I will stay in PA if you take him permanently.

Still snowing lightly in Telford. 1.75"

Some backbuilding happening in Upper Bucks as per radar loop. Hrrr looks decent for wave 2...this is 4pm depiction

Just arrived at Telford. Almost 2" here fresh. Very scenic, 28F

Another cool thing about this snow.It should linger around a little while with highs in the thirties and twenties this week.

Just got to doylestown , heavier , norman rockwell , snow

On my way into telford again. Eyeballing was a fresh inch or inch and a quarter at my house. Fairly moderate snow in warrington , twenty eight degrees.

The chances we waste this window are 50/50. They are never "low".

0z Hrrr is a 2 waver tomorrow...one 4am-10am then a more significant wave backing in 3pm-9pm. When was the last tine we got Hrrr'd?

I posted in the other sub last week but dont want to poke a hornets nest....this type of pattern progression (Jan 23-Jan 30 give or take a day) in a Nina has alot of potential. Also has a lot of potential heartbreak. I mentioned it before but this shouldnt be brushed over...as the PNA ridge begins to amplifying with energy riding the stj, the heights out ahead rise. Thus, the Jan 24 thing could very well slide N and W or at the very least the boundary may setup farther N than we would like. Subsequently, as the PNA fires and joins with the EPO ridge, the next big stj wave riding thru for the Jan 27-29 thing could end up suppressed or a slider. Again, Im not saying this will happen, but I do urge caution as the biggest fail potential with Jan 24-25 is cutter or boundary too far N, then the fail potential for Jan 27-29 shifts to suppression or slider. Yeah, there are some nice teases on the individual deterministic runs, but keep expectations in check. At least we arent tracking a PAC puke pattern and have some chances. Thats all we know for sure right now.

Had one from OH last year it was a play on PA Dutch Scrapple..it was so damn good!

Im about to have dinner service at our restaurant. I fully expect when I log on later to be seeing stories of HECS and ejecting bowling balls. So, make it happen!

Dry slot

How does one whom lives in SE PA acquire this brew? Road trip to where? Please, direct this lost soul.

About to get NAM'd

Biggest run since.....12z!

Looking ahead, the STJ may put a dent in the drought situation. Its a start at least. Then we move to a Nino late summer.