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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Who are we referencing here?
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Several periods of opportunity on the ensembles (feb 5, feb 8, feb 10-11, feb 14-16). Icon has a raging winter storm mid week (probably wrong?). Far from a snoozefest. But go get your zzz's , we can wake you in april.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Fair. Take the op guidance with a grain of salt tho. And if im going by surface maps alone, the aigfs and aifs have been respectable at range.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    If we weren't in the midst of climate 'adjustment', I bet this would have been top 10 if not top 5.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Do you ever look at the 500mb anomalies on the ensembles at range? I strongly recommend using this as a tactic and not rely on a deterministic surface map over 5 days out.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Its funny to see the pattern breakdown keeps getting can-kicked. Yet, no weenie will ever speak about it...only when we r in a shit the blinds pattern and the switch to a good pattern gets delayed. This is all covered somewhere in the weenie handbook in fine print.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Paging @donsutherland1
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Whether or not we get a storm, I still consider this stretch rather historic, not "wasted".
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    0z GFS is bone cold from start to finish. I think I saw Kdyl hits 34 at one point otherwise below freezing with several 0 to sub 0 frames. Dont care if this cold is "wasted". When was the last time we had a run of cold quite like this?
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Well said.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    It isnt unpossible
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    If you go back and read the research on the 2000 storm, it was the wrong piece of energy the models were focusing on. Iirc, a wave dove into the back side of the developing ull pulling the surface low west. Alot like how the "kicker" you guys keep calling it is fying in faster and faster each run.....
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Y'all will remember this post when this storm goes Jan 25, 2000 over the next 3 days. K, I'll just see my way out now
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    That was a Vegas thing 100% since they now do odds on HOF first ballots. He had the best odds to get it. The fix was in.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    They totally deserve it
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    And just like that, a slight tick and we are now at 0 with shore points getting snow.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    75% chance skirts part of our subforum s and e, 15% chance entire region missed completely, 10% chance major hit Philly and burbs. Thats the way I see it attm. Need some major changes at 12z and 18z.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    12z tomorrow was when things started to trend north last week. Let's see if we can reel this in. Ngl....it is so close to either being a hecs or a mere coastal graze. So close.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS held serve. Close call. Cutoff is brutal.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Pivot.you son of a b....
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    @ravensrule
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Interesting. In that case im above avg already so anything else is gravy.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    It says 30" when I googled that. What say your sources?
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    30"
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