Ralph Wiggum
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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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HDRPS says lemme dryslot Philly most of the day Monday but than pummel E PA from 4PM onward.
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Bucks snow hole
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Seeing DT, Newman, etc getting nervous yet again reinforces nobody is sure. Newman is rock solid 99% but even HE is unravelling
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Better than shifting N and E. Goes to show the uncertainty still until tomorrow AM. Getting the horse tranquilizers ready. Anxious times ahead.
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I hate all of them. Except the euro for next week.
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Already told my wife that tomorrow will be nervewracking and do not disturb me, look my way, wink, nod, move, breathe, etc between 5am and 10am. That is now cast crunch time. Funny thing is....she honestly gets it and gets me.
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NAM is being retired isnt it?
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Gimme that as a Kuchera and let me be for 10 mins. Ok, maybe 3.
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Didn't the euro, icon, and gfs tick SE tho?
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Yep this could still go either way. Odd to have the euro looking so good then the nam looking meh. One of those will fail badly.
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Model mayhem! When in doubt during a Miller B we take the model with the least snow and pray for the best.
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Storm cancel?? Are you bailing?
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ICON slr....very nice and more realistic. We take:
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Well thats the 6z for starters. And secondly you've been around and know as well as anyone the SLR ratio maps are usually much closer to the truth than the over inflated Kuchera maps.
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Everyone last night said ignore the NAM its trash. So yeah, do as you wish.
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Seeing some sporadic flakes here already. Thought I was hallucinating. Kids confirmed by catching them on their sleeves -
First lazy random flakes lazily falling here in Ivyland. Temp 24F
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There's your classic miller B shaft. Lets hope its wrong and over focusing on the convection offshore. It is basically alone so its higher resolution could actually be hindering finding the larger scale true low center here? Asking for a friend.
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NAM was a hair W with slp but precip max actually trended wider and farther extension s and e vs 6z
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A few miles is noise imo right now. We will see this across guidance next 18 hrs. Unless there is some unanimous trend I think we are locked in. The bullseye is the only question. And then u are talking the diff between 12" and 24". Those kuchera maps are garbage.
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I see a tick at best not a screaming. 6z vs 12z are virtually carbon copies in every aspect. Trof looks a hair sharper 12z
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Let's do this ladies and gents!
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Just looking across 6z, am I seeing things without my AM coffee yet or has there been a detectable nudge S or SE across guidance?? ICON has been leading the way with these adjustments. Not saying it is correct but certainly is interesting. Back in the bullseye swath here and slowly trending on extreme SE PA again?
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Obs thread started:
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Ivyland, PA - 25F cloudy. Looks, smells, and feels like snow
