Ralph Wiggum

Heavy sleet here. 28F

HRRR as usual 2 steps behind but if the widespread 8-16" on the HRRR is just catching on the NAM may score the late coup

Pinpoint nailed it

Check out the convergence happening from about Delco n to Upper Bucks and easy to just across the river. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=DOX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad

Are you not reading the reports of the flip happening almost instantly in spots near you when the heavier batches are overhead? The warm nose is shallow and is being easily countered. It will happen quickly.

Wouldn't be a Miller B without a bunch of posts during the handoff to coastal stating this isn't going to work out because it is sleeting or a lull. 27F

90% snow here now. Moderate.

6z GFS has at least 3 winter storms to track. Complete weenie run.

Yep. Big convergence zone. You can clearly see the coastal taking over now wrt the flow.

More snow than sleet now here. Starting to pickup. 27F

HRRR caved to the GFS....if that's such a thing.

Radar is exploding. In another couple hours the poop is going to hit the fan. Currently 26F and sleet/snow mix in Ivyland.

Good luck everyone! Please begin getting to your seats, the show is about to begin shortly. And above all, enjoy.

Herpes:

SE PA dry slut is gone

I like this

NAM IS CAVING! SE PA!

Holy shite anyone seen the CMC for next weekend and beyond? 2 more potential major winter storms in the next 11 days. Goodness!

Didn't realize it was only 21F wow. Really nasty out... in a good way of course

Just leaving work in Blue Bell. Moderate big flakes. 3"

Rpm

@Wentzadelphia...come home!!

We have the euro and almost every other model still not giving up on SE PA while the NAM seems to be lost in space. I dont trust the hrrr and haven't given it an ounce of weight in this type of situation. Yes the NAM shows a way we could fail but with so much other data insisting on a big E and SE PA hit it is just hard to think the NAM is correct. The hits are getting stronger yet the NAM miss is getting wider. Either setting up a massive massive fail by every other model or the NAM is just having a tough time here. Guess we find out in about 15 hrs.

I think Roger Smith is trolling us....can't be certain. He is pretty well-respected but those numbers seems astronomically absurd. Even Kuchera would chuckle.