Ralph Wiggum

Not sure how this was a widespread bust. Maybe some localized areas? Widespread 12"+ majority of E PA N of the Turnpike. Mixing happened in SE PA as modeled (oddly the mesos failed here and the GFS the entire week was showing a sleet event for S PA....go back thru the runs). Yes, it did go farther N and W with the sleet but those areas still did very well and right in the NWS 12-18" range (the higher forecast areas the NWS had didnt mix or not for long still within NWS range of 18-24"). Only areas that hung on longer to the sleet that actually screwed them was confined to 5 miles S of the Turnpike to the DE border no? I mean, this thread is fine to vent but i don't think this is a huge bust. If you really feel this is the worst bust ever, you haven't been around long. There will be a next time. Chin up.

12.5" here...lull now. HRRR joins other guidance and says not done yet. 3-6" more here if u believe it

Euro still sniffing out next weekend threat. If anything, this is clearly favoring New England. That isn't to say we can't get something out of it but this Miller B is already looking well N and E across guidance where we would want to see it well to the South at this range. Euro op is also alone in developing slp as far South near Hatteras. We can certainly track it and watch for trends.

Snow has not stopped here in Warminster. Had another heavy batch roll thru over the past 90 mins. We are closing in on 12" now. 12k NAM has an additional 2-5" here in Bucks today. Wouldn't be shocked to see that verify. Radar has more backbuilding into the area.

12k NAM for tonight and thru tomorrow evening. Still some light stuff over parts of Eastern PA occurring during this frame. I mean, those additional totals alone are a nice winter storm for most of us that we would be tracking for days. Most models like the additional accums. We take.

Meh, another 4-6" here tonight and tomorrow per HRRR on top of the 9.75" on the ground. K, sign me up. 28F SN-

Monster sprawling hp in S Central extending into E Canada and the NE with plenty of cold air advection around the PV lobe with the 50/50 locking things in. That would definitely work....the cold and the source of cold are there. Just need the upper features to line up a little more.

Puking marshmallows here. Incredible rates attm. 9"

Those h5 maps are really close...very diff at the surface tho. Only diffs that standout the Euro has the stj sw off the SW coast which is likely helping the ridge out west a little more. Also, the euro is better in the AO where the GFS is more overspread into the EPO. 50/50 evident on both. Of course the Euro is a monster at the surface. GFS (and other ops) don't phase the streams like the Euro does and you can see the stj wave separate off the coast on that model. Euro is somewhat alone for now but it wouldn't take much adjusting on the GFS and CMC

Not sure.

Euro at the same time frame:

Not there yet and not even sure it gets there, but if u look at 144 on the 18z and go back thru last 6 runs the trend is very good. Plenty of time.

This isn't a terrible look:

Heaviest snow of the day....newly formed band stationary over Bucks and Montco. 8.25" 28F

So wait, is this in addition to what we have now? Btw, the 22F is cool, but more interested in the flake for Sunday. Ens means aren't excited.

Yet will be the one time this storm we think it looks reasonable and the NAM will verify instead with higher amounts.

I knew by 8am we were fooked with the sleet trend, just didn't want to cave so early. Sleet hung on alot longer than anyone expected tho. Yes, glad we are under SN+ attm

Just came in from snowblowing the first round. 7.5" so far. 28F. Wind is whipping everything around here.

Holy crap! North Wildwood is in bad shape: https://wildwoodvideoarchive.com/wildwood-noreaster-photos-and-videos/

Flipped to all snow and just tapered off here. Can't make this stuff up lol. 29F

Looks like deform band ticking W now. Im assuming once I flip here in Warminster things will taper off? Can't win em all I guess.

Half carat diamonds pouring down here again. A flake or 2 of dandruff mixed in at times. May have seen a kitchen sink roll down the street.

What sort of convoluted bs is this where Delco snows but parts of upper Bucks are sleeting?

You'll like the day 9 euro and cmc then

CMC has that as well. GFS sniffing it.