Ralph Wiggum

These ticks N at around 48-54 hrs out have been too predictable this year for whatever reason. Euro is alone on the island....again. If it doesnt tick N at 0z...by 12z tomorrow latest.

ICON came N:

Must be dry asf....juicy NAM manages a whopping c-2". Little refresh to the piles anyway.

Here....nice tick N on the 12k NAM:

I just saw that lol my cache is all screwed up

Have a suspicion op models start the N tick tonight. We'll see.

18z GEFS snow mean is way N and doesn't agree with the op much at all.

Don't taunt....might get a flag thrown.

It is a flat ridge, but its there. It was supposed to be raging with the Nina. But we luckily have had the -NAM state working for us to counter it. If the ridge was non-existent we would be congratulating NC/SC. But as we've seen countless times recently, there is a battle going on between the -NAO and that SER reflection. And subsequently every system has come N. I personally don't buy the squashed look on the Euro. Not suggesting every wave comes N and flush hits us....but I am anxious to see the battle that ensues in the atmosphere over the next 10 days between those features I mentioned.

Just saw the Euro. Suppression City, USA. These never nudge North....ever. Especially with a SER starting to gently percolate under a mid Feb Nina sun.

We cash in on one of these waves at least. Need to keep expectation low still. I dont care that the pattern is screaming, the PV is close, the groundhog took a dump on the 12z Euro, etc. Throw enough chances our way, we will cash in eventually. But keep in mind, we could (in a perfect scenario) muck this whole period up and be on the wrong side of these systems. There is alot of upside, but keep those expectations low. First things first....Wed night and Thursday (I dont think tomorrow does it for anyone S of I 78).

But someone posted a map showing 40" on the ground here by Feb 21. I demand a refund!!

GFS has a cold bias in the MR and LR that corrects itself as lead times lessen correct? Not asking for a friend. 12z is a weenie run. I counted 7 legit threats in the run.

Never bet against Brady....especially as an underdog at home. Easy money thank you!

Yeah I just went to edit that post to say it is close but moreso about the general potential moving forward....and I accidentally deleted it....thanks for saving

GFS on board also for Tuesday. Who's starting the thread?

All of PA below zero the morning of the 15th on the ICON.

Fair

And the Flyers smoked the Caps today! Oops, wrong sub.

NAM at range coming in colder for the Thursday event.

0z hr³ does the same...hmmm.

Here we are on Feb 7th in a Nina year and I am about 3" above my seasonal average for snow. Patience has paid off.

Yes...I have been following this one and the trends are favorable for a minor nuisance event especially PA Turnpike N.

Not sure I'm at work in blue bell. Guess I should have stuck with my 8" lollis call. Thats what I call a good bust