I don't think any of us are banking on a single thing just yet outside of the next 4 or 5 days....at least they shouldn't be. This is still all just potential and windows of opportunity. Maybe a discrete opportunity around the 11th-12th starting to gain traction. But most of us know epic patterns don't always produce. The fact we are seeing the epic pattern evolve at least gives hope and chances.
I do think the LR (Feb 12+) looks beyond promising. But I again sort of agree with you....how many times have we been drooling at LR ens stuff but overlooking threats in the mid range only to have the short and mid range events produce and the LR stuff fizzle? Not suggesting that, but it is funny seeing most eyes on the mid month presentation with a potential impactful event on our doorsteps.
Eps is just insane. The mean snowfall maps for after the 10th thru the 17th are off the charts. Tbh havent seen such a strong snowstorm signal at this range since possibly Jan 2016. Major signal across the board.
Realizing this is the NAM at range, but this looks quite wintry. And with LP developing near the outer banks, anything to keep those winds with a Northerly component will keep interior section in the CAD.