Jump to content

Ralph Wiggum

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    16,089

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    I think we just got NAM'd:
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Plenty of time but that is a signal on a 10 day eps mean
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Honky tonk:
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    DT is going to ALEET:
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    EPS are a much better look and nothing like the op in the LR. Trof digs in the Gulf states rather than -PNA out west.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Here's that period honking again centered around the 17th give or take a day. This has been a consistent signal for about a week already and moving up in time. No can-kicking this one:
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    The snow(less) middle finger. Someone always falls under it in these situations where a weak low jumps off the coast and you fall in a subsidence zone between the weak primary as it jumps off the coast. Sucks to be in the bullseye of it but it is what it is. Not the greatest start to 12z for extreme SE PA:
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    How is the ALEET ALEET super blockbuster fooking WOOF WOOF event looking for the 16th? We still locked in?
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Ditto. Just want to get on the board tonight. Anything over say an inch accumulation is a bonus win up here.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    6z GFS ups the ante
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Light snow arriving between 9PM and midnight Thursday. Continues overnight, maybe a heavier burst especially S and E of the Delaware River. 1-3" generally across SE PA. Maybe a stripe of 2-5" near the Delaware River across into S NJ.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    You'll still find something to complain about come Friday AM
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Any time is tough to forecast LR....but Nina it is damn near impossible to be confident past 7 days wrt overall hemispheric longwave patterns let alone synoptics.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    There are already some signals that the good pattern on the 16th rolls over on itself by the 20th and things deteriorate. Hopefully just a hiccup on the weeklies. Im in for the 17th give or take a day for the PNA spike and possible system. Pattern either holds on or flips after this. Fingers are crossed.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    NAMs just took a big old dump in my Wheaties for Friday AM.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Maybe. Weak split out west with some waves undercutting the pna ridge. When you pump the PNA like that with a CPF extension the cold will be there in the East. A well-timed phase would work. But I wouldn't kick a clipper out of the sack either.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Decent potential coming up. Like seeing this on the CFS weeklies:
  18. Ralph Wiggum
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Exactly, and ens mean look good. GEFS is actually better. Tho yeah 6z/12z ops went to wrong way.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    17th has been showing potential for a while now....sticks out like a sore thumb. Lets do it! First things first, Friday system looks great on the ens:
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Been watching this period for a few days now. The ens have been popping a system underneath us during this period for several days now. Best mapped lr ens potential in a while. What do they say? The big ones get sniffed out early?
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    All models (except NAM tracks inland with rain SEPA) are snow in SE PA. Legit trackable event. Clearly a Miller B with lp redeveloping off of the DelMarVa and tracking ENE. Definitely not a Southern slider. Fast moving system will keep accums in-check. Doubtful anyone in our region sees totals like S NJ from yesterday. Im all-in.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    That is not the look of a southern slider. That is a coastal signature from the hills of NE Tennessee to Nova Scotia sir.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Haven't even seen the precip maps, but the 850 low looks great. What a solid run for this potential.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Not with the surface wind vectors NNE as shown. Perfect spot and wind trajectory on that map. Speaking verbatim on the euro, not my call, but that look likely wouldn't be an issue 95 n and w. Eta: 850 winds r actually NW.
×
×
  • Create New...