I posted in the other sub last week but dont want to poke a hornets nest....this type of pattern progression (Jan 23-Jan 30 give or take a day) in a Nina has alot of potential. Also has a lot of potential heartbreak. I mentioned it before but this shouldnt be brushed over...as the PNA ridge begins to amplifying with energy riding the stj, the heights out ahead rise. Thus, the Jan 24 thing could very well slide N and W or at the very least the boundary may setup farther N than we would like. Subsequently, as the PNA fires and joins with the EPO ridge, the next big stj wave riding thru for the Jan 27-29 thing could end up suppressed or a slider.
Again, Im not saying this will happen, but I do urge caution as the biggest fail potential with Jan 24-25 is cutter or boundary too far N, then the fail potential for Jan 27-29 shifts to suppression or slider. Yeah, there are some nice teases on the individual deterministic runs, but keep expectations in check.
At least we arent tracking a PAC puke pattern and have some chances. Thats all we know for sure right now.