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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Anyone else feel this advertised great pattern after Feb 20 is going to turn out to be meh and the real show is actually over the next week and a half to two weeks?
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Is the mint pattern still on target to arrive after the 20th or did the epo change mitigate that?
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    No Sistene Chapel teleconnection? No March 1993?
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Meanwhile the fv3 holds off on precip until after 6am extreme se pa.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Looks like quite the mess from say i78 north and west. Hoping areas s and e can tick above freezing sooner. Temps are marginal but the killer is this happens mostly at night and coldest part of the day. Could still be potentially tricky for some of those s and e of 78.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    2m surface temps at 10am Thursday last 2 runs. Colder. Maybe nam resolution is starting to note the better cad:
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Thread open to discuss Wednesday/Thursday:
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Last 3 NAM 12k 850 temps:
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Things are starting to look more solid wrt frozen precip overnight Wednesday into Thursday AM rush before hopefully flipping to rain then moving out. Discussion here.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    12k NAM continues to get colder at the onset of heavier precip overnight Wednesday. Slightly stronger low near coastal NC as well helping with the CAD. Here are the last 3 runs of 850s for comparison:
  11. Ralph Wiggum
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Not surprising, the gfs op looks nothing like the gefs at h5 at range. GEFS still has the tpv in a favorable spot underneath the negative nao where the op rotted the tpv and linked the nao with the ser. Crisis averted
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    You mean 309 gets worse than the current decrepit state it is in?
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Yeah, what's up with that? The good period advertised looks worse than the lead-up. Before anyone says it, I know it's the op at farthest range and likely wont look anything like that at 384. But wouldnt it be some shit we get crushed during the reload then go into a relax after the 20th, the old bait n switch?
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    I'm just trying to be patient.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Kuchera totals
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    I will just leave this here. Anyone got the kuchie?
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Is there such a thing as too much? Wtf
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Holy shit, then other mecs next weekend. Here's the 24hr snowfall for that bomb:
  20. Ralph Wiggum
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Having an Oreo McFlurry, close enough BTW, rgem is a rush hour nightmare up here Thursday AM. Driving to work in Telford at 730am looks challenging
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Would be really cool to ha snow during the Eagles victory parade next Wednesday, even though they would probably reschedule it. Yep, I said that too. Going for the ultimate jinx
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    I dont think it's a head fake wrt the hemispheric pattern and favorable teleconnections, though I could see us getting screwed with sleet and rain right before the cha ge, then suppression with the actual pattern in place, and lastly missing archambault event when it all breaks down circa march 2001. Yep, I said it.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Paging @Bob Chill Paging @Bob Chill
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Waiting for someone to ask what the big deal is it is showing a 3-6" storm
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