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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think we share part of the same cerebral cortex, I really do. I chuckled when I saw the op and thought of how most would envision it as an improvement just looking at the surface when in all actuality it may have been a small step back at h5. This is an odd hobby at times....well, most of the time. Did anyone check on Ji this AM?- 4,130 replies
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- prime climo
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the control pretty much just another lower resolution op? Then the ens members are ran off of pertubations of the control, no?- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
How did that euro control model do for today's storm? You know, the one that continually had a massive hit up 95 and N and W of there? Asking for DT.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Better looking ridge out in the pna region thru 132 on the gefs vs 18z:- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Pretty similar look to the pattern around the time of the early January storm. Eta: or at least leading into it iirc.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Is this going to be one of those systems that is a bomb but has very little precip on the left side of the low? Been there, done that already.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Funny u mention that. I was glancing at some of the ens stuff for very early Feb and also noticed the more of a signal for a big low in the East and more of a dampening out of the big flip.....or maybe we can call it kicking the can. Agreed tho, let it bomb out.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
What? You don't like a 700 mile stretch of SE flow coming right over the warm Atlantic? Usually works out fine.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Setup leading in resembles gfs....strong NS less stj- 4,130 replies
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JMA has the signal next weekend as well. That is 4 of 4 globals. Turbulent times ahead.
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Euro has the signal.
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Good the see it isn't just the GGEM dishing out a MECS every run.
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That would be the cover of the new edition KU book on winter storms ... verbatim
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Rain to Snow obs for January 20th winter event
Ralph Wiggum replied to ChescoWx's topic in Philadelphia Region
All snow in Warminster/Ivyland 34F -
Cold chasing precip works out about 1 in 20 times at best for this area outside of the higher elevations in the far N and W areas of this subforum. Odds are only a bit better in getting a snowstorm to pan out during a stretch of good teleconnections in the pattern of the N hemisphere. Clock is ticking.
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Jan 21 - 22 Weekend SE VA and Eastern Shore Snow
Ralph Wiggum replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Panic room would be making exponential profits this week. I feel bad that they closed it for renovations. @WxWatcher007 -
Every time I see this I rotfl!!! Yes, pretty much. 18 hour soak, putting in the night shift....yep.
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This ship is unsinkable....it is just setting sail and we r in it for the long haul. We got this.....especially with you as our lookout in the crows nest. No sleeping on the job k?
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Jan 21 - 22 Weekend SE VA and Eastern Shore Snow
Ralph Wiggum replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Seems in Nina years the GFS has excelled recently. Likely a function of how it handles the Northern stream and Nina being generally N Stream dominant. We just can't know. -
Jan 21 - 22 Weekend SE VA and Eastern Shore Snow
Ralph Wiggum replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
More like this clown: -
Late next week starting to light up like a Christmas Tree on ens and ops for a potential big ticket event. Im liking the period Jan 25ish thru the end of the month for our best potential of the season.
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I bait and wait in the spring. Bunker or clam. Some guys have luck with those Daiwa SP Minnows. I go to lures in the summer for flounder and weakfish. Then carry over the plugging into the fall. And yeah, those horseshoe crabs suck when they r thick.
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Some of you guys already punting the rest of January