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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Pretty nice stuff moving thru right now. Hopefully it can backbuild.
  2. Yet to come. Probably overdone....especially kucera. The lower map of snow depth factors in modeled temps for ratios and might be closer. I find still cutting another quarter off of that is closest to reality most often. So if snow depth was showing 8" here probably closer to 6". Just my personal experience with the RAP.
  3. RAP continues to increase totals in far E PA and NJ: NON kucera:
  4. Not bad...Eastern Bucks to NE PHL inching closer to that heavy banding:
  5. 12" line creeping within miles to Levittown now on the hrrr. @The Iceman
  6. Didn't you leave on a flight earlier to Puerto Rico?
  7. No wonder models had some challenges with this storm. Pick a low...any low. And COD website is pretty good with their surface analysis...one of the tops:
  8. March 2001 was my worst. My expectations are set low here at 3" from the main event so I 'should' be ok.
  9. Everything is jumping east now last second adjustments....gem, nam, srefs, hrrr.
  10. 33F, sun poking, and melt taking place. Ended with 1.5" from the PRE/cold front
  11. Only if we can re-sign Sheena Parveen to one of the local networks.
  12. You can see the flow beginning to back off the Atlantic and precip filling near NC. Even SE of DC beginning to expand. More folks should start seeing sun break thru up here as the cold front is now being absorbed by the developing coastal low well to our S.
  13. Getting crushed here with -SN 1.5" so far, 31F, no melt. Everything covered except on the main road they had previously brined.
  14. NAMs ticked East but probably just noise at this point. Probably now cast time not expecting major changes.
  15. All surfaces are white here in Ivyland. Nice band over us setting up shop. Both vehicles went in the shop this AM. Dead battery on one, deal oil pump on the other. Murphy's Law.
  16. But that wind On a serious note, wind may damage dendritic plates and pack snow depth, but in the LE gauge it still amounts to the same amount of snowfall wind or not.. 15:1 should be common especially as temps continue to drop to around 20 overnight near the peak of the event. Eta: the 20:1 that chris sauers is stating probably not so much...that seems extreme
  17. Location, location, location. Tuck job. Little different than when the NAM and Euro had this kissing Bermuda 2 days ago. What a turn of events!!!
  18. I'm not watching the low trend west. I've been watching the convection and heaviest banding moving west and expanding over the last 18 hours. Alot is in response to how quickly this will deepen. When these stack and occlude there is a natural tendency to tug the low left of center which is why we are seeing a tuck on the mesos. This is only like 20 miles now from the benchmark for extreme E PA areas and points S and E.
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