Ralph Wiggum

Moving on to the next trackable wintry event, ICON starts 12z off with a mixed mess for most of PA on Feb 24-25. Surface temps don't go above freezing in SE PA until the system is already moving out. Tracks the redeveloping triple point under the region....barely. Close call but clear CAD showing up especially N and W of the fall line. Next up, the GFS...

Feels amazing!

Going to enjoy this today....maybe give the 4runner a rinse....thinking about running out when the downpours start and washing then and allow mother nature to do the rinse part. Then again, may wait as end of next week looks like a window with strong HP in upper NY state wedging down east of the apps. Might be a fun frozen event. Then another threat early March. Winter hasn't bid us farewell just yet guys....not by a long shot. Most widespread cold air to the N this time of the year that I can recall tbh. If ever we were going to delay spring and keep tracking, this is the year.

The study I have done generally falls between Dec 27 and Feb 10. After Feb 10 the rule can still apply I suppose as we've seen just the past 3 days. The chances begin to exponentially decrease for the "Wiggum Rule" to work though this time of year.

FYI, the Delaware Bay is a saltwater body until you get to around Salem (give or take) which essentially is where it turns into the Delaware River. Sometimes during drought, the salt line can get up to the Commodore Barry Bridge. No evidence of such an event or even drought conditions at this current point. So you think Nestlé is going to hike prices because of a water shortage? Not because of inflation or other skyrocketing prices? Cool narrative bro.

Ended with 2.8" of snow in Ivyland

Heaviest rates of the day in Blue Bell. Giant flakes clinging to everything. But "it's over"

You've been a wet blanket all morning, no offense. You can't even enjoy a pleasant snowfall. Instead you are chirping about drip drip, melting road, March vibes, spring feel in the air, birds in your yard speaking to you, etc. Lighten up, and enjoy it.

Radar building. All light stuff but it continues....steady mood flakes on a Super Bowl Sunday....epic win. 31F in Blue Bell

Not surprised at all to see the LV get a flush hit with this one. Midday yesterday you could see the meso picking up the banding feature near Berks, etc which kept ticking NW. I think I made a post that this would probably be their largest of the season to date and had all the feeling of backing into a sneaky surprise event. Well, good morning LV...you were due. A little over 2" here and snow still falling. Pleased with this event considering 36 hrs ago we weren't forecast to see anything.

HERPES DERPIES 18z is another SE PA deathband jackpot. Smaller zone but amts look to have ticked up....again. Eta: n/m amounts are about the same, tighter zone

This may end up as one of the best surprise events in a long time

Just got NAM'd!

Crazy part is, now the LV is in the heavier band on some guidance and for some, this *could* be the largest event of the season.

Models continue to tick N and W. HRRR still making moves. Close enough now that coastal development may even creep into SE PA aside from the jet enhanced stuff.

Maybe I'm reading/seeing things wrong, but sure seems like SE PA is backing into a sneaky little surprise event at the last minute. These models barely gave us a trace yesterday now some guidance as high as 6" with the stripe of banding.....and guidance is increasing rather than going the opposite way for a change. I'm with @The Iceman.....2" wet snow is a win....an epic win.

Is 18 hours out ok to be in the bullseye? Asking for a friend.

Latest HRRR and HRDPS doubled down for SE PA!

We've made threads for flizzards before, so yes I agree...desperate times call for desperate measures.

I made a thread because y'all are snoozing on the job

Since this quest has apparently been a success, can the next quest be in search of the Holy Grail? I'm quite certain this group can do better than Monty Python......then again, maybe not.

12z HRRR has my area bullseyed with a 4" isolated max. I think I would be content with a half inch of slush tbh given the recent warmth and the LR close the blinds pattern coming up.

Late season Wiggum Rule in effect after hitting 61 yesterday and forecast of 63F today. Flakes should be flying in the area by Sunday AM. See other thread for discussion: