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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Wrt Sunday, BL looks awfully marginal to my eyes for this particular system overall. Farther N and W in this subforum seems the place to be for this one. ICON snows on us midweek. CMC op is snow/rain. GEPS mean is honking for midweek. Euro isn't far off is close to something nice verbatim. Good thing I buckled up...these model runs are a roller coaster ride past few days. Guessing todays daytime runs will taketh away now.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Mets don't put snow totals out for a system 13 days out sooooo that's step 1.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    The Roger Smith jawn
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    If my snowblower had a pulse and brain it would have to be thinking "this tool bought me 7 years ago and used me once...just put me out of my misery ffs"
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    I'm still hanging in, but if I were to punt today this is probably how it would play out
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    You forgot Nina is waning and MJO is headed into a favorable progression. What else? PAC looks less hostile, solar flares are numerous, and the WDI.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Yet trending the wrong way. Hanging on by a thread and the needle got lost
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Even the JMA is a transfer to an inside runner. That model is usually farther E than other guidance. I95 and se of fall line are on life support next 7 days imo.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Yet so far away at the same time. HP pulling away, less concfluence, too amped. Groundhog Day, we know which model is leading the way sadly
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    But they ARE starting to get snow to the North. And they look to really start piling up. We could have used this snowpack up that way going INTO this week, not as a byproduct of this week.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Well, at least we know where our winter is. I blame Putin for hoarding all the cold air.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    So how's that El Nino looking for next winter? Only 45 weeks to go, never too soon to start thinking about the possibilities right? Delayed (just a couple years) but not denied? Let's do this! Eta: my basic math skills apparently suck without coffee
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Simply put, no. And have we ever had an ens blip that reverted back to the good looks in the LR? Again, no.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    And just to add, I want the event that finally gets us on the board to be for both subregions so we enjoy victory together. We deserve it together.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    NAM in a better position up this way with good digital blue but come game time it will be 33 and rain. I'd rather not be NAM'd tbh and just accept the inevitable. These models can take their digital blues and wipe their blinds-shitting rear-end with it!
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Coming up from GOM into a stale marginal airmass with no HP to the North. I'm sure that will work out for the lower elevations.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Good catch....I see I can't pull a quick one on you Ant lol.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    It did? Could have fooled me....
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    How's the early Feb Roger Smith storm looking?
  22. Ralph Wiggum
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    The window closed for the lower elevations for next week across all overnight guidance and 6z. This is a truly humbling hobby. SPV is getting beaten to a pulp tho currently, so maybe next window will be better? Or maybe not.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Loop last 3 runs. Baby steps. Probably won't help with storm 1. Bigger threat with storm 2 imo.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Slowly making a move to the Euro and icon. Painfully slow
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