Ralph Wiggum

GFS waffling between tasty wound up storms in the LR and shred factory not letting any sw survive the fast flow of the northern jet.

NAM will be getting in range next few runs. Im thinking this sets up as more an elevation 'event' and far NW thing tbh....and certainly not a warning criteria event. If we had a decent antecedent cold air mass in place, could have possibly been better. But most places in SEPA outside of those I noted are going to be watching CAA chasing the departing precip and that generally isnt an easy scenario for accums Maybe some wet flakes all the way to the Delaware River, not expecting this to morph into anything significant here. Mulch/car topper to get some on the board perhaps. Lets watch the trends tho and obviously fine tune things. We all know how the weather can flip on a dime.

"Better to have dreamt and lost than never to have dreamt at all"....said no weenie ever

Do I blame ya? No sir. Fun to dream right?

Pants tent run

Im sorry if some of my humor ever rubbed off the wrong way. Mental illness is no joke....I know many affected by it. The stigma attached to it can be heartbreaking quite honestly. I hope there is someone in your personal life that can you associate with. You can even pm me all jokes aside. Im always an ear brother.

In Ji's defense, he has been tolerable so far and even optimistic at times. Now that parallel universe fellow on the other hand....yeahhhh...

There has been some good discussion in the Mid Atl forum wrt warming and how marginal events just dont pan out like they did a decade or so ago. I can attest to that where im at.....moved here in 2010 as this was 20 miles nw of philly and was almost always frozen in marginal events. We just dont cash in during marginal events here anymore....people can draw their own conclusions but the marginal line is now 15 miles to my nw. Time to relocate again?

Is this showing your ++NAO? I cant read the fine print. Coca-Cola contained cocaine until the 1940s

@I Like Snow @Voyager Dec 26-Feb 7.....high of 60F flakes within 5 days. 93% success rate since researching it from 2003-present

2nd days in a row from the CMC. It MUST be right.

Agreed. Valentine's Day will rock!

12z eps way out there past day 12 starts moving a piece of the PV closer to the Aleutians helping to pump the EPO (in addition to the neutral PNA which begins around day 8/9). By end of run the central PAC ridge is replaced with a more neutral look. I would take my chances with this look every day of the week and twice on Sunday:

Hurts is out but for all the right reasons....blowout. Only 12yds rushing. I wonder if Derrick Henry is fighting an injury? Only 30yds with 6 to play. I hate betting on single player odds and Im not a fantasy guy but i would have done well with the Hurts/Henry unders today. Thus is gambling hindsight always 20/20. Get at em next Sunday

Meh, cant win em all but i feel good with another Eagle win. Broke even today with the over 44 anyway.

Euro is close to a bomb along the coast at day 10....exact time frame the eps is moving up from 14 days out just 4 days ago. The good looks are starting to move up in time now. Remain patient

Your account doesnt have a blue check and with the optism evident in this post this is clearly not Ji.....what did you do with him?

Still like the Dec 10th-20th period and some discrete threat signals showing up. Best look shows up later in that range. But all 3 global ens means are now on board with the PNA being neutral or slight positive and a decent coastal signal with blocking anchored in place. Some less threatening looks appear prior to this and you know how that goes....focus on LR and sonething pops up sooner sometimes. So take it with a few grains of salt:

Luckily analogs with this type of blocking have it a base state all winter. It is still wayyyy early. But yes, in a few weeks with climo peaking we should be golden

Gardner Minshew is pretty darn respectable bro

This just flew over. Hopefully for the game. Otherwise, take cover asap

I've had pretty good success "buying points" which obviously changes the odds and is essentially another form of teaser/parlay. 3-leg parlays using alternate spreads and alternate points have been my bread and butter past 2 years and have kept me in positive net units. I dont wager too much, just for fun so every so often i will drop $1-$5 on a 5-leg parlay. Biggest i hit last spring was $1 to win $742.

New thread is up for winter....delayed but not denied https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/58525-e-panjde-winter-2022-2023-obs-thread/

High lat blocking showing up and showing little sign of going anywhere anytime soon. Should see the first 'legit threat' between the 10th and 20th. PNA is negative which isnt great but CPC has it going neutral/slight positive by mid month.