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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    6z eps pna ridge improved leading in fwiw.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    We have light accumulations (dusting)....first of the season.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Flakes are flying here in Ivyland, PA....33F and snow!
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    76 is a nightmare on a sunny day. GL be safe
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    2nd edition weenie handbook...Chapter 33 Section 69 states "When the GFS has a storm off the coast while the other globals are hits, we say 'It's right where we want to see it for now'".
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Did the exact thing with todays storm at the same range. Wouldnt buy what it's selling until other guidance follows suit for a few runs.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Well, it did the exact thing at this exact range with today's system.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Oz models across the board made significant improvements for the Dec 22-23 system. Still have a ways to go....too long if you ask me, but we have a unanimous signal for a potential storm across all guidance now...thats what we should be focused on at this point. Sharing these from another sub...thanks @Weather Will
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Damn Seeing Ji get excited is better than seeing a pasting on any guidance. Might require the "its happening" jawn in the coming days.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Better start believing sir. The snow means on the ens are awesome given the range still.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Some Big hits on the individuals ens
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Correct. My original point was all 3 ens and ops get snow in our area and some accumulation. Plenty of time to go either way. You should be ecstatic just to get the ground whitened. Not all systems can be a MECS.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    ? The eps mean is damn near perfect for the first measurable of the season for many. Eta: we're talking about the same system dec 22-23 yes?
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    FYP
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Ive never owned one, I know a few folks that have them and they incessantly complain about how they are gitchy, they get very slow after a while, and some of the apps are inferior. Most of them say they would love to switch to android but their reasoning is they are comfortable and afraid that rhey wont be able to adapt to android interface.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    It's an outstanding phone honestly
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Never
  18. Ralph Wiggum
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Off topic: it is evident in my posts i am having lots of typos. I think i could use some advice. Im using a galaxy s22 and using their samsung internet. When I have the auto correct and/or word suggestion turned on I literally cant type anything...it just keeps getting wonky and wont allow me to type at all. Not sure if it is wonky on other sites input boxes too. When turned off tho, no problem whatsoever. Any suggestions? Btw, I dont like using tapatalk, i dont care for the interface.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Definitley a solid look for an ens mean and only seems to have been getting stronger with the signal. 22nd-27th seems like a good window for something. LFG!
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    I only enjoy my avocados smashed and spread on toast, certainly not on a prog centered over Indiana. Gimme a little blueberry sliding underneath us and Im content
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Many pro LR forecasters had January shaping up like this...a big 'thaw' period. It is probably going to be a backloaded season as we are accustomed to in a Nina and we arr going to have to be patient. Like you said tho...it's way out there but the great looks are going to shift around at some point. The Dec -AO/-NAO base is a good signal tho for returning periodically so even if it happens as you noted, I doubt we are done with the +heights at HL for the year.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Same goes with the CMC that had a bomb yesterday. A possibility but not a likelihoof. Referring to ops past 6 days or so. Within 5 days is a decent frame to start putting more weight in the global ops as a very general rule of thumb.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    The ops is also not very reliable in a Nina pattern in that range. Not saying its wrong but I would go with the eps over the ops at this point tbh. Total outlier attm.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    I recall something like this up here in the nearby Philly burbs. Had to be mid 80s (83, 84 or 85?). I remember going to school at 7am pouring rain...cats and dogs stuff. Flash flooding, streams in roads. Remember it vividly. When we left school at 3:15pm everything was rock solid 3" ice in spots. Unreal stuff. Wish I could figure out exact date and see historic progs of that.
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