Jump to content

Ralph Wiggum

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    16,089

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Going with the GEFS for now as it has been outperforming in the LR. I wouldn't say this is a bad look. And many know this but during prime climo we don't need/want a raging epo ridge. The just less than perfect looks are the ones that produce it seems. As long as it isn't shut the blind we are in the game. Again, this isn't a bad look....not 100% perfect, but definitely not bad or PAC driven:
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    24 hours ago folks were thrilled a cutter option was waning. So, now we want the cutter idea back? I thought S and E was where we wanted it at this range?
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Are we going back to tracking avocados?
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    We played this game with a persistent WAR a few years back. Don't need a repeat of that season, please.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    You said you didn't see it? Hmm, haven't seen Ji around today yet. I wonder if he was stalking and you clipped him.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Testing testing this is only a test. By George I think I've fixed it
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Glad you're ok. Those things can do a number to vehicles and the folks inside. Like you said...in a flash.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    FYP
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Different breed up here in PA....people, not the deer. Hit a deer and within minutes somebody is scraping it off the road and stocking their freezer.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS decides to go with lighter stuff up here Friday but adds a weak system on Sunday with Norman Rockwell flakes and cold for Christmas Day. Going to see numerous more changes some good some bad. Buckle up.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    And euro. Instead of rags to riches we go from riches to rags at 0z. Im sure it isnt the last big shift on the models one way of the other either. I said we wouldnt hone in on actual clustering til Saturday night/Sunday.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Im just trying to keep my expectations in check. Been better at this since 2012. Are all the ingredients present for a potential MECS/HECS? Yes. Does that equate to a lock? Absolutely not. We do get these looks every once in a while. Some work out, most turn out to be SECS here due to timing/spacing issues. It still takes a perfect setup to get a perfect storm, lets not forget that. Lets just see how this one plays out.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    I respectfully disagree. There is still a fairly broad range of solutions that 95% of them whiten the ground whether that be a coating up to 34" on some individual ens members. Im not greedy when it comes to snow. Would love a HECS but I just want to get on the board for now tbh and a white ground for Christmas weekend is beyond just a win. If you are locked in for a MECS/HECS more power to ya. Just 18 hours ago you were telling us how this has almost zero potential.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Made a post elsewhere...this is becoming a potential where we whiten the ground even with a poorly timed setup like we are seeing. Im not going to say it cant fail, but almost every model has now shown solutions at h5 that look fail-ish yet it still snows on those progs. We are seeing a good bit of wiggle room. And as someone else mentioned we dont need a HECS. Im quite content with a ground whitener for the 24th-25th holiday anything more is an absolute bonus
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Funny thing is that is not even well-timed wrt the phasing....happens just a hair too late to nail us yet we still get 10"+.....nice potential there for something for sure. Im thinking White Christmas odds are quickly rising near 50% now.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Thats like 1/4 northeast of the USA under some form of wintry precip. Talk about an expansive precip shield and thats with the mean ens lp leaning well off the coast. We take.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    One thing is becoming more clear, and this is just my observation. While we may not be trending HECS or otherwise we ARE starting to see almost every possibility giving us accumulating snows in one form or another late next week. Even with the sw racing out ahead, the phase mistimed, a flatter PNA, etc...we are quickly closing in on a system that it snows with almost regardless of precise timing. One of those situations possibly where it just finds a way to snow. LFG!
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Feb 83 redux
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    That bust of march '01 didnt fall apart until 18 hours prior, at least up my way. Modeling has come a long way since that time.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Again, another nice ens means snowfall map. GEFS joined the eps in that regard. Lonnnggg ways to go but at this range, all the pieces we want to see coming together seem to be as opposed to going the wrong way. By saturday night/sunday we should start to see things narrow to 2 distinct camps or so. For now, enjoy the tracking and dont get too locked in to any one scenario.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Matches the op rather closely tbh
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Is a radio show acceptable?
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Textbook
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Im deceased....back to back MECS+ on the gfs. But christmas day is dryish at least
×
×
  • Create New...