Time for another weenie handbook quote...Back to 1st edition, chaper 1, section 1 2nd paragraph. This is one of our first quotes..."When models are diverging at 5-7 days we say 'The energy in the PAC or NW Teritories is not being sampled properly due to sparse data'".
We also hug the piss out of the snowiest and most threatening model. Go GFS LFG!
Weenie handbook 3rd edition....Chapter 2 section 4 paragraph 7 states "when the model starts failing on the storm 7 days out we say that it is 'setting up for the followup system 2 days later'"
ICON looks much like yesterday's system at this range tbh. Fropa with a wave along it. Pumps ser ahead of the system and drives primary into Lake Superior. Next up, the CMC and GFS
Eta: one fail option...avocado mucks things up
Fixed. Was as simple as clearing keyboard cache/data, adjusting a few settings (predictive text,etc),and rebooting the phone. Not that anyone cares, just figured I would post for anyone else having issues.
I still stand by the Dec 22-27 producing at least 1 widespread wintry event for our respective regions. I see zero reason to deviate from this. If we fail, we move on....heads down and mentally exhausted from tracking. But I don't think that happens based off of ens modeling.