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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. GEFS looks better out West thru 144. Same with the TPV fwiw Eta: by @frd
  2. UKIE, ICON, CMC, EURO all glorified arctic fronts. Newly upgraded GFS a MECS+
  3. It doesn't for now tbh. BUT it has been performing decently at this range since the upgrade. Did OK with yesterday's system after 2 blip runs.
  4. Time for another weenie handbook quote...Back to 1st edition, chaper 1, section 1 2nd paragraph. This is one of our first quotes..."When models are diverging at 5-7 days we say 'The energy in the PAC or NW Teritories is not being sampled properly due to sparse data'". We also hug the piss out of the snowiest and most threatening model. Go GFS LFG!
  5. If the inferior icon and cmc take the lead, well, I just dunno aside from boycotting avocados.
  6. CRAS was the first shorter range model to nail the Boxing Day storm. I think that was the only storm it ever got right tho.
  7. I honestly wouldnt use a printed icon map on tissue paper to wipe my....
  8. Weenie handbook 3rd edition....Chapter 2 section 4 paragraph 7 states "when the model starts failing on the storm 7 days out we say that it is 'setting up for the followup system 2 days later'"
  9. Arctic squall line with thunder and rain turning to snow for 5 minutes then flash freeze? We take?
  10. ICON looks much like yesterday's system at this range tbh. Fropa with a wave along it. Pumps ser ahead of the system and drives primary into Lake Superior. Next up, the CMC and GFS Eta: one fail option...avocado mucks things up
  11. ICON being the ICON....send this thing back to Germany for a tuneup
  12. A little sloppy and disjointed vs the same map from 12z yesterday, but this look is close to producing...very close:
  13. Fixed. Was as simple as clearing keyboard cache/data, adjusting a few settings (predictive text,etc),and rebooting the phone. Not that anyone cares, just figured I would post for anyone else having issues.
  14. I still stand by the Dec 22-27 producing at least 1 widespread wintry event for our respective regions. I see zero reason to deviate from this. If we fail, we move on....heads down and mentally exhausted from tracking. But I don't think that happens based off of ens modeling.
  15. Just to add to the map I posted above....looks like a reload as the SCAN ridging is building and wants to feed the NAO.
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