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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Something brewing after the 14th on the gfs, so pattern still has potential. We are losing the first threat tho.
  2. Ops is a joke...NAO is gone and the 50/50 replaced with a ridge.
  3. At least the SER still gets knocked down by day 10, so there's that consistency.
  4. System gets so intense it tries to obliterate the block and reconfigure the entire longwave pattern over N America. Oh joy
  5. This is a reflection of a SER. Please don't gaslight ppl into believing it is not:
  6. 3 phases....establish blocking, knock down ser, followup wave. Delayed but not denied. I'm pissed the first threat isn't going to work but hang in there. Remember 0z gfs that bypassed first threat what it did with the 3 phases I mentioned.
  7. The better chance is mid month. Ides of March St Patty's thing bro
  8. Yo, you are NOT wrong. When was the last time we had a shitter trend to a MECS?
  9. Need LSD at this point so at least the maps can maybe morph into some hallucinatory wintry event that really isn't there.
  10. Amazing, it's like at 12z all guidance just said ok, let's stop fucking with them and just put the dagger in their hearts right now.
  11. Have a feeling this op run won't make many friends unless they are patient people.
  12. Rain with a few mixed flakes now. This winter can't end soon enough...really.
  13. Chicken vs the egg debate. Both the burying of sw's out west and the SER have been trademarks of the entire winter.
  14. I get that, but there is still an increased tendency in that region to build ridges faster and stronger in this Nina.
  15. Weaker blocking,more energy lagging behind developing 50/50, ridging in PNA as opposed to SE, kicker on the heels of the NW energy feature. Also more connection between the 50/50 lag energy and the energy coming thru the WC
  16. We need that to get beat down so a followup can come along and do its thing. Eta: but with that said, we DONT want a March 1993 storm over the Plains resetting the entire hemispheric pattern either.
  17. 100% agree. And @psuhoffman has been all over it not being the first wave/threat that produces. He may be frustrating with the journal thing but when he gives his ideas I tend to listen to him.
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