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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    I think there might be a thread the needle sort of window before then but yes, mid month on should get things at least more sustained seasonal with some 'legit' threats before we hit another thaw. Thus is Nina...small windows sandwiched between thaws and cutters. No 2 are exactly alike but thats the general theme.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    It was never the first half of Jan. Might be a tiny window or 2 but first half is essentially the transition away from PAC crud and re establishing the cold air source to the North.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    I know a few here have basically canceled winter or are very pessimistic of anything wintry here. But mid-month forward should present a few solid chances before another 'thaw'. Nina is all about windows of chances sandwiched between thaws and cutter patterns. It was never going to be balls to the wall winter from start to finish. But I stick by patience and hanging in there as prime climo will provide the best windows then as HL blocking gets things all convoluted come later in winter more windows will open. Just don't jump out the windows yet....patience!
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Fix the Flux capacitor and set the date to january 1996
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    I like where hrs 282 implies we may be headed based on past hl looks as such, especially just earlier this month. Big ridge signal near Scandinavia which generally feeds the NAO over time, nice EPO ridge, and what looks to be a -AO. Little ways out but something to watch going forward:
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Soooo, how bout those +height anomalies at HL on the GEFS in the LR?
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    How did I know this post would end with 'lol'?
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Looks like our transition period is moving up on the ens. Originally the 8th looks like we start the transition around the 5th as the pna tries and go positive. EPO ridge builds. Shortwave sliding under ridging in SE Canada. Could actually see a viable threat centered around the 8th but too far our to track any discrete threat. Still need cold air in place prior to anything so let's get thru the AN temp period and the transition....by mid January things should be evolved.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    ^^^ not being a smart ass but people lost power in their homes, medical equipment seized, froze to death, got stuck in their cars and froze during busiest travel days, roofs collapsing, etc. You just can't predict the worst and I'm not sure something like this the local government could even force people to leave. Those residents would have laughed at them. Plows breaking down and catching fire. They did what they could. I'm not really sure what you were referring to ie this could have been avoided. Nature going to be nature.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    How so? Drain the Lakes?
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Looks thunderstormish outside.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Epic pattern is producing.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    If the ens are right might touch 60 between Jan 1-Jan 3. Mixed signals involving a wave riding the boundary under our region centered around the 8th with us potentially on the colder side. Would fit the old Wiggum Rule. Might be the only thing on the horizon to track....blinds are shut until at least the 8th imo but I think our more significant threats come around or after mid month as the split flow out west takes shape and deep stj waves trudge through the deep South before hitting the SER/WAR with cold air finally making a return thanks to the EPO-
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Clippers really are a thing of lore....our possible light clipper event Tuesday...shredded to oblivion. One of these years we'll see one again. Really....I feel like we used to get 2 or 3 of them like clockwork every year almost. Storm, cold front, reinforcing shot via a clipper.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Road trip!
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Sad snow pile....just sad. But it's something.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Wiggum Rule watch in effect?
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Merry Christmas to all that celebrate!
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Oh. And Merry Christmas to my Southern neighbors and friends that celebrate!
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Pretty much right on track....Jan 8ish is the transition. Have a strong suspicion based on teleconnection analogs that we are going to be busy mid Jan onward. Sticking to my theme for this year....patience and backloaded. See absolutely zero reason to have doubt wrt that attm.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Think the Chessy will produce any bay-effect-streamers? I know we've seen them in the last, just curious. Wind trajectory might not be right?
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    I wonder if Delaware Bay or the Chessy will produce the rare bay-effect-snow streamers that we see with these polar blasts every once in a while?
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Thanks Ovi ! Won me some Christmas $$ on draftkings...anytime goal scorer
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Bring it. Wiggum Rule during prime climo. Cmon 60!!!
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    In all seriousness wouldn't be surprised to eek out a c-2" type as these clippers tend to juice up as we get closer. That is, of course, if the models don't lose it in the next couple of days.
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