Ralph Wiggum

Was braced for 1-2' up until 12 hrs prior here. Yep, eta ruined the party. Ended with half an inch of sleet/slop. Worst debacle ever.

Fyp

Plain nasty outside. 100% freezing rain now all surfaces covered in a slippery glaze 30f.

You would have made a great on-screen local news met. Every storm we get you preface part of your post with "Just like I said it would do" or "Just like I told you"

So the 18z euro came north a good bit. The rgem moving N at 18z leads me to believe e the ggem will be n at 0z. Curious if the gfs will still suck

Sleet and freezing rain mix has begun in Ivyland. A wet flake or 2 mixed in. 31F

Yeah, so like, the RGEM did something for Tuesday:

Nam 12k doesnt even get precip in my area until after midnight then outta here by 2am.

There probably will be a big storm. But climo in a Nina late Feb says probably not for the immediate East Coast generally speaking.

Nina climo ftw?

So anyone have predictions on the Super Bowl?? I suppose I will start. Eagles-38 Chiefs-28 final Coin toss-Heads Saquon over 60 yds rushing Hurts over 24.5 yds rushing AJ Brown to have an anytime td Dallas Goedert over 24.5 yds receiving

I will repeat, its over after tonight's mess, at least for my area points S and E. LV maybe another shot, perhaps 2.

Not this season.

Euro just went even more South for Tues/Wed. It's over for that threat guys.

After tonight's mess, its over for all intents and purposes. Pitchers and catchers reporting in a few days.

I'm not even shocked. I feel like we do this regularly anymore. Now when the epic pattern goes to shit or doesn't produce, I will be disappointed. Not really tbough, because again, it's kind of the norm for us.

What a trainwreck, but thankfully it is the op

It is the epic period so maybe it has legs. Look, I don't doubt the indices tank in our favor. But we've seen epic patterns quite a bit recently tbh, more than usual I would even venture to say. But I am more into track actual legit events in these patterns. And I get it, get the pattern in place first. OK. But I guess it's just frustration that these good telleconnections just haven't produced a whole hell of alot over the past decade. Either we are just in a decadal rut or @psuhoffman from the MidAtl will need to dig into the deeper chapters in his log.

Remember when all 3 ens means had 7"+ for our region thru next Friday?

Fringed

Well, I was bored and reading thru the weenie handbook, and I found a glimmer of hope....page 4 section b: "wait for the energy in question to get onshore before throwing in the towel on any given storm as things will begin to trend favorably". Hmmm

Don't do it to yourself. Seriously,walk away:

So, with next week in the dumpster, how we looking for our big grand finale major drool-worthy loaded powder keg pattern after the 20th? We still good?

We luv ya man. It's ok to be honest. We just suck at winter anymore. But!.....Nino next year. We fucking got this!

Those are pretty but are talkng indices verifying or actual meaningful wintry westher? I.am focused on the latter. Dont care if the ao is -6 SD if it isn't going to produce.