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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Some astronomy dude in NY sub says we have one chance...Feb 4-6. Maybe a Feb 83 or Jan 16 vibe...MECS then meltoff starts next day is what I got from his post.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    I joked with you in a post earlier wrt western ridge but if early seasonal history is a thing, yes, frustrating.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Beautiful day! Daffodils are a half inch or more out of the soil and my daylillies are emerging from their long winter dormancy. Wow, Jan 12...earliest I recall seeing this.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Meanwhile my 11 daughter says if it doesn't snow she's taking her scout knife to both of our professional snow tubes. We need snow, really, we do.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    ^^^ anything to shake it up a little. Still thinking backloaded times are in store. Whether that means 2nd half fun or a week in March is anyone's guess. This Nina is acting differently and I don't think we have seen all the longwave looks it has to offer just yet.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    SPV getting beaten to a pulp. This is the most extreme look, on the op, just for visual purposes. All ens means have similar albeit somewhat muted given they are means:
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Some dude in NY said one and done this year early Feb. Maybe this is setting up for it?
  8. Ralph Wiggum
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    West Coast ridge axis displaced too far to the left... WAR not going to make any friends either
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    There is a threat window around the 23rd still but temps probably still an issue. Maybe we can at least get a Feb 83 or Jan 16 event....one and done....before we exit stage left
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Couldn't agree more Paul.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    FYP
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Pretty sure that's right where we want it at this range. Oh wait (flips frantically thru weenie handbook) nevermind.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    But is is stable? We need stability in here dammit!!
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    What phase is the current WDI?
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Well, it's 3rd and 35 still. Need a bigtime play over the next 2 weeks. If not, then we decide what to do on 4th down as Feb begins. Let's take that timeout and talk things over.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    I mean, we have the gfs tracking cyclones due west from Bermuda so nothing surprises me
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    This will trend S for all of us to cash in. Jan 23rd is the center of another brief(?) window.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Just need this ^^^ threat window to hold thru Jan 15 so we can keep @RedSky from punting. I think he said the 15th was his punt date if no trackable events on the models. Hang in there. The windows arent big but there will be some possibilities here and there after mid month.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    LFG!!
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Winter 2022-23.... the year that made 1997-98 look like Antarctica in the Eastern US.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    CFS just shit the bed for our February month of winter and cold redemption. However there is hope....it now says March is going to feature BN temps and a workable longwave pattern.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Beggars can't be choosers but if this season has taught us anything so far it's that too much of a good thing isnt always good. No avocado tracking.....not again please
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Well, this year has behaved more like a Nino than a Nina, so we have that going for us as we enter deep winter. Whether or not that means Nina flexes it's muscle and we torch in Feb is tbd...but this has been a very strange year wrt enso analog behaviors. I mean, have any major cities from DC-Portland, ME recorded more than a few inches of snow? If that? This can't last forever and eventually it's going to flip for the better.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    I mean, he's not wrong either....tho the longwave pattern from day 7-12 looks essentially the same on all ens, so the progression probably has legs this go round.
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