Ralph Wiggum

Models have evaporated for tomorrow. Maybe a spritz or few mangled flakes in spots. Need to get past mid month so we get the temps in Canada back to norm or BN. Maybe next window around 3rd week in Jan just beyond mid month.

EPS jumped on board with the GEFS. There is support all around for a change for a good pattern progression. LFG!

Maybe. Just because it is progressing as the past 2 doesn't mean it will work this time.

This pattern progression has been right on schedule.

Bullseye. Not good 7 days out but I will take 7 hours out. Lock it in!

I think most of us "know" and are just trying to keep it light and have some fun with it since things are slow. There are more important things to worry about.

^^this thread

If cold is going to rebuild quickly up top, this is peak climo for that to happen, so we do have that on our side.

CFS is all aboard for first half of Feb at the very least....probably overloads us with extreme cold and dry again but it relaxes towards the middle of the month.....just in time for PD4....calling it now: Monthly (Feb):

Take Atlanta ml

Patience. We may have kicked the can but February will rock. The CFS says so....it MUST be right!

GEFS shows a path to some opportunities way down the road. Finally seeing Canada cool down and some of that makes it down into the US. Of course we need that to bleed east. And all caveats apply at this range...this look may even be a head fake. We just can't know at this time. But it is a better look even at mid latitudes to NOT see inferno reds coast to coast and to our North. It's something. Kicking the can isn't fun but maybe late Jan and Feb will deliver?

Too warm. Mesos picking up on this. Maybe a few mangled flakes in extreme SE PA

Things change. Phases happen. Some last decades. Like ppl are saying, assume it will never snow another flake in your life. Sad reality, it may not. Any one of us could drop dead tomorrow. Don't wallow over such things you don't have control over. I want a half billion dollars so I never have to work another day....so I play the mega millions periodically. The odds are I won't even get a single number right. Odds are I will never win. But I don't sulk and whine about it when I lose. If you don't expect to win you never really lose. Wow, that's a cool quote I just said. Maybe I can copyright it for royalties and make a half billion $$.:

And there are ppl here who are mets and hobbyists and absolutely loathe the cold and snow. So when we enter a period in a year or so where it's wall to wall cold and storms do we all just stop posting about the cold stats in fear their feelings might get hurt? You can't please everyone. I don't want you to take this the wrong way, but this is a public weather forum. If you or anyone else here gets upset by scientific stats, you probably shouldn't be here tbh.

The icon disagrees

It also took our snow away for tomorrow night...puts SE PA in the screw zone soooo we toss this run

The 2016 map I posted was sort of a joke. It nailed the blizzard in 2016 but if you look at the prog it was actually about 5 days early with it the model still sucks it was never really good.

It was just 120 hours early on that prog lol re 2016

As was 96 overall...8 days lead time. Just shifted N at the last 36 hours.

If they ever create a time machine before we pass, we need to have an amwx gathering for a Jebwalk during every one of these.

So if life expectancy is about 70 years, give or take, and 1979 was 44 years ago, how have we gotten 7 or 8 "once in a lifetime" storms? Now 1993....THAT is a once in a lifetime event.

And the snow would be confined to a 7 mile wide swath on the NW side.